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Multi-Source Large Scale Bike Demand PredictionZhou, Yang 05 1900 (has links)
Current works of bike demand prediction mainly focus on cluster level and perform poorly on predicting demands of a single station. In the first task, we introduce a contextual based bike demand prediction model, which predicts bike demands for per station by combining spatio-temporal network and environment contexts synergistically. Furthermore, since people's movement information is an important factor, which influences the bike demands of each station. To have a better understanding of people's movements, we need to analyze the relationship between different places. In the second task, we propose an origin-destination model to learn place representations by using large scale movement data. Then based on the people's movement information, we incorporate the place embedding into our bike demand prediction model, which is built by using multi-source large scale datasets: New York Citi bike data, New York taxi trip records, and New York POI data. Finally, as deep learning methods have been successfully applied to many fields such as image recognition and natural language processing, it inspires us to incorporate the complex deep learning method into the bike demand prediction problem. So in this task, we propose a deep spatial-temporal (DST) model, which contains three major components: spatial dependencies, temporal dependencies, and external influence. Experiments on the NYC Citi Bike system show the effectiveness and efficiency of our model when compared with the state-of-the-art methods.
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