Submitted by Elesbão Santiago Neto (neto10uepb@cche.uepb.edu.br) on 2018-04-05T19:02:03Z No. of bitstreams: 1 PDF - Valter Angelo da Silva Junior.pdf: 36791695 bytes, checksum: 273ed695189827b6fb638d73013560f2 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2018-04-05T19:02:03Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 PDF - Valter Angelo da Silva Junior.pdf: 36791695 bytes, checksum: 273ed695189827b6fb638d73013560f2 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2017-06-05 / CAPES / This thesis addresses the topic of geopolitical power calculations from the Chinese perspective. A unique aspect of China's assessment of this subject is the use of an analytical tool called "Comprehensive National Power" (CNP) which aims to measure the power of countries and to rank them according to the results found. This Chinese method evaluation, in most of its variations, emphasizes political power as the basis of state power, as well as considering that these units are responsible for the configuration and definition of the International System, not the opposite the other way around. By doing so, it visualizes international relations from a different parameter of Western mainstream approaches, which are mostly based on material power and the power of structure constraint. This dissertation deals with this matter by contextualizing the reader from the initial theoretical foundations on state power and power in the Chinese context, in the presentation of the various CNP versions in China, and, finally, using the analysis method of Yan Xuetong (2008;2011) to evaluate the evolution of China's CNP in the Hu Jintao period (2003-2013). In this way, the thesis presents the relations between China's action - in the established time interval - and the CNP, aiming to identify how the country uses this in the assessment of the International System. / Esta dissertação aborda o tema de cálculos de poder geopolítico a partir da perspectiva chinesa. Um aspecto singular da avaliação da China a respeito deste tema é a utilização de uma ferramenta analítica chamada “Comprehensive National Power” (CNP) que objetiva mensurar o poder dos países e hierarquizá-los a partir dos resultados encontrados. Este método de avaliação chinês, na maioria de suas variações, enfatiza o poder político como a base do poder de um Estado, além de considerar os que estas unidades são responsáveis pela configuração e definição do Sistema Internacional, não o movimento contrário. Desta maneira visualiza as relações internacionais a partir de um parâmetro diferente das abordagens ocidentais de mainstream, baseadas no poder material e no poder do constrangimento da estrutura. A presente dissertação aborda esta matéria contextualizando o leitor desde os fundamentos teóricos iniciais sobre poder e poder estatal no contexto chinês, na apresentação das diferentes versões do CNP da China, e, por fim, utilizando o método de análise de Yan Xuetong (2008; 2011) para avaliar a evolução do CNP da China no período Hu Jintao (2003-2013). Desse modo, o trabalho apresenta as relações entre a ação da China no interregno temporal estabelecido e o CNP, objetivando identificar de que maneira o país utiliza desta ferramenta em sua avaliação do Sistema Internacional.

「中國崛起」是國際社會在討論中共1990年代以來的變化所使用的概念。影響臺灣國家安全的因素雖然很多，但中共政權始終是臺灣國家安全的最大威脅，「中共崛起」後，伴隨其綜合國力的成長，及其擴張的戰略企圖，臺灣問題已經從以往民族情感的統一需求，提升為中共向外擴張的戰略需求，而造成臺灣在安全方面的更大挑戰。 雖然世人對「中國崛起」是否成為威脅的看法分歧，現實主義者認為他是潛在的威脅，主張藉由赫阻等手段維持權力平衡；自由主義者認為讓中國接受國際機制規範，可降低與之發生軍事衝突的可能；建構主義者認為與中國正面的互動會走向和平，但負面的互動會走向衝突；但就臺灣的安全而言，在中共不放棄以武力犯臺的原則下，中共的和平宣示、現實主義、自由主義、乃至建構主義對「中國崛起」的看法與主張，只能當作臺灣在策定國家安全戰略的分析與參考，畢竟中國是否為「和平崛起」需要經過諸多檢驗，臺海安全只能當作國際上對中共行為與和平宣示的驗證；就臺灣本身而言，我們必須堅信中共是我們最大的安全威脅來源。 本文的論述主要從中共崛起的戰略意涵及中共對於未來的戰略企圖，從軍事、經濟、政治、文化層面，解構中共崛起後，臺灣安全威脅的變化，分析臺灣如何在「中共崛起」、「國際、區域」局勢更迭中，從國際、兩岸關係、臺灣內部的軍事、經濟、政治、文化層面，建立臺灣應有的認知共識，與具體的戰略思考。以選擇臺灣「避戰爭之兇、趨和平之吉」的最好方法。 / Many of the ideas of the rise of the PRC come from the new security concept, which was formulated by thinktanks in the international comunnity in the mid-1990s. Concerning unification, China is the single most threat to Taiwan’s survival. Spatial expansion, a result of rising China, is gathering momentum to impact Taiwan security. There are controversial arguments. Rationalist argues that China need to be contained through deterrence. Liberalist argues that in order to reduce potential conflict, China can be tampered through international norms. Constructionist argues that China could be bad or behaving boy. Regarding Taiwan security, these arguments are irrelevant to contemporary Taiwan security. As long as China not to exclude the possibility to use force in the unification, China is the single most threat against Taiwan. Regarding Rising China, this paper exams its implications and her strategic intentions. Finally, facing the threat this article tries to find the most feasible strategy in the regional/global environment with economic, political, military, cultural considerations.