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The purpose of this study was to determine whether a model based upon the dividend formulation of Myron J. Gordon provides an adequate explanation of the variation in common stock prices. In particular, the hypothesis tested is that investors mainly consider dividends, the rate of growth in dividends and the risk characteristics of the firms in valuing shares of common stock. The model was tested by using multiple regression analysis on a cross-section of U.S. companies in the machinery industry in each of the years 1956 to 1965. Alternative measures or proxies for "normalized" earnings, growth, business risk and financial risk were used in testing the model. Empirical results supported the proposition that Gordon's model provides an adequate explanation of the variation in stock prices. On average, between 76% and 81% of the total variation was explained by the model over the ten-year period. The R² values for each year ranged between .68 and .90. The coefficients of the dividend, growth and size variables were significant at the 5% level or better in almost all the years tested and except for growth in two years, these coefficients had the sign indicated by the theory. Business risk and financial risk performed poorly as explanatory variables. The coefficients for both variables were not statistically significant at the 5% level in most years and the business risk coefficient frequently did not have the expected sign. / Business, Sauder School of / Graduate

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Ling Nie Bun. / Summary in Chinese. / Thesis (M.B.A.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong. / Bibliography: leaves 97-100.

Ng Yin Hung. / Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2003. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 70-74). / Abstracts in English and Chinese. / Abstract --- p.i / Acknowledgements --- p.iii / Table of contents --- p.iv / Chapter Chapter 1 . --- Introduction --- p.1 / Chapter 1.1 --- Background --- p.1 / Chapter 1.2 --- Purpose of Study --- p.1 / Chapter 1.3 --- Summary of Results --- p.3 / Chapter 1.4 --- Organization --- p.5 / Chapter Chapter 2. --- Literature Review --- p.6 / Chapter 2.1 --- Tax --- p.6 / Chapter 2.2 --- Agency Costs --- p.7 / Chapter 2.3 --- Asymmetric Information --- p.8 / Chapter 2.4 --- Product Market Interactions --- p.10 / Chapter 2.5 --- Corporate Control --- p.10 / Chapter Chapter 3. --- Data --- p.12 / Chapter 3.1 --- Methodology --- p.12 / Chapter 3.2 --- Data Collection --- p.12 / Chapter 3.3 --- Measures of Leverage --- p.14 / Chapter 3.4 --- An Overview of Corporate Capital Structure in 42 Countries --- p.15 / Chapter 3.5 --- Chapter Summary --- p.16 / Chapter Chapter 4. --- Firm Characteristics Factors in Capital Structure --- p.18 / Chapter 4.1. --- How Firm Characteristics Factors Related with Levearge --- p.18 / Chapter 4.1.1 --- Tangibility --- p.18 / Chapter 4.1.2 --- Market-to-Book Ratio --- p.19 / Chapter 4.1.3 --- Size --- p.19 / Chapter 4.1.4 --- Profitability --- p.20 / Chapter 4.1.5 --- Business Risk --- p.20 / Chapter 4.2. --- What the Data Tells Us --- p.21 / Chapter 4.2.1 --- Regression Analysis of the Effect of Firm Characteristics and Industry Dummy on Corporate Leverage --- p.21 / Chapter 4.2.1.1 --- Tangibility --- p.22 / Chapter 4.2.1.2 --- Market-to-Book Ratio --- p.24 / Chapter 4.2.1.3 --- Size --- p.27 / Chapter 4.2.1.4 --- Profitability --- p.28 / Chapter 4.2.2 --- Regression of Leverage on Firm Characteristics and Industry Dummy with Business Risk Added --- p.30 / Chapter 4.3. --- Chapter Summary --- p.32 / Chapter Chapter 5. --- Country and Firm Characteristics Factors in Capital Structure --- p.34 / Chapter 5.1. --- Regressions of Leverage on Country Dummies --- p.34 / Chapter 5.2. --- Regressions of Leverage on Country Dummies and Firm Characteristics --- p.37 / Chapter 5.2.1 --- Controlling Frim Characteristics --- p.37 / Chapter 5.2.2 --- Controlling Nationality of a Company --- p.39 / Chapter 5.3. --- Chapter Summary --- p.42 / Chapter Chapter 6. --- Macroeconomic and Institutional Factors in Capital Structure --- p.44 / Chapter 6.1. --- Macroeconomic Factors --- p.44 / Chapter 6.1.1 --- Inflation --- p.45 / Chapter 6.1.2 --- Real GDP Growth Rate --- p.47 / Chapter 6.1.3 --- Real GDP per capita --- p.48 / Chapter 6.2. --- Institutional Factors --- p.49 / Chapter 6.2.1 --- Financial Development --- p.51 / Chapter 6.2.1.1 --- Financial Intermediary Devleopment --- p.52 / Chapter 6.2.1.2 --- Stock Market Development --- p.53 / Chapter 6.2.2 --- Financial System Structure --- p.54 / Chapter 6.2.3 --- Legal Instituion Strength --- p.57 / Chapter 6.2.4 --- Investor Rights and Protection --- p.59 / Chapter 6.2.5 --- Entry Regulations --- p.61 / Chapter 6.2.6 --- Tax Codes --- p.63 / Chapter 6.3. --- Chapter Summary --- p.65 / Chapter Chapter 7. --- Conclusion --- p.67 / Chapter 7 1 --- Summary of Results --- p.67 / Chapter 7.2 --- Limitations and Suggestions for Future Studies --- p.68 / References --- p.70 / Tables --- p.75

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