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David Hume on probability and the Gambler’s fallacyTilli, Michele Orazio 05 1900 (has links)
Cette présentation examinera le degré de certitude qui peut être atteint dans le domaine scientifique. Le paradigme scientifique est composé de deux extrêmes; causalité et déterminisme d'un côté et probabilité et indéterminisme de l'autre. En faisant appel aux notions de Hume de la ressemblance et la contiguïté, on peut rejeter la causalité ou le hasard objectif comme étant sans fondement et non empirique. Le problème de l'induction et le sophisme du parieur proviennent d’une même source cognitif / heuristique. Hume décrit ces tendances mentales dans ses essais
« Of Probability » et « Of the Idea of Necessary Connexion ». Une discussion sur la conception de la probabilité de Hume ainsi que d'autres interprétations de probabilité sera nécessaire. Même si la science glorifie et idéalise la causalité, la probabilité peut être comprise comme étant tout aussi cohérente. Une attitude probabiliste, même si elle est également non empirique, pourrait être plus avantageuse que le vieux paradigme de la causalité. / This presentation examines the degree of certainty which can be attained in science. The scientific paradigm is composed of two extremes; causality and determinism on one end and probability and indeterminism on the other. By appealing to Hume’s notions of resemblance and contiguity, we can dismiss any claim of objective causality or chance as being ungrounded for lack of an empirical basis. The problem of induction as well as the gambler’s fallacy stem from the same cognitive/heuristic source. Hume describes these mental tendencies in his essays ‘Of Probability’ and ‘Of the Idea of Necessary Connexion’. This will necessitate a discussion of Hume’s notion of probability, as well as other interpretations of probability. While science has glorified and romanticized causality, probability can be understood as being just as consistent. While a probabilistic stance is as non-empirical as a causal stance, it will be remarked that we may benefit from a paradigmatic switch to probabilism.
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[en] CAUSAL REASONING AND INDUCTION IN DAVID HUME / [pt] RACIOCÍNIO CAUSAL E INFERÊNCIA INDUTIVA NO PENSAMENTO DE DAVID HUMECARLOS JACINTO NASCIMENTO MOTTA 25 November 2005 (has links)
[pt] Esta dissertação tem por objetivo apresentar os resultados
da pesquisa de
mestrado em que se procurou evidenciar algumas
características da relação de
David Hume com a indução. Segundo a interpretação
corrente, Hume é o
responsável por mostrar que nossa razão não é capaz de
justificar qualquer um
de nossos raciocínios indutivos. O problema de Hume também
se caracteriza
por ser um problema acerca da racionalidade da ciência,
pois se seu método
principal, a indução, não pode receber suporte racional,
parece lícito afirmar
que o resultado de uma inferência indutiva é irracional. A
fim de delinear o
campo exato em que se insere a crítica humeana, este texto
irá mostrar como
Hume apresenta suas teorias acerca do raciocínio causal em
seu Tratado da
natureza humana, traçar as características exatas do
raciocínio causal de
Hume e confrontá-las com as formas de interpretação
presentes em alguns de
seus principais comentadores. Procuramos tornar claras as
falhas
apresentadas nestas interpretações. Em seguida trataremos
de discutir
algumas das mais celebradas interpretações da filosofia de
Hume, centrando
nossa análise nos textos de Mackie, Beauchamp e Mappes. O
capítulo final
tem por objetivo mostrar as características racionais que
podem ser atribuídas
aos raciocínios causais humeanos, salientando o caráter
particular de suas
inferências. Finalizando, mostraremos como a origem do
princípio da cópia
pode ser um exemplo do uso de inferências indutivas por
parte de Hume, o que
nos leva a considerações heterodoxas a respeito de sua
visão a respeito da
racionalidade. / [en] The aim of this work is to present the results of my
master´s degree research,
which tried to show some of the characteristics of David
Hume´s approach to
induction. According to the standard interpretation, Hume
is responsible for
showing that our reason is not able to justify any of our
inductive reasonings.
Hume´s problem also characterizes itself by being a
problem about the
rationality of science, for, since his main method,
induction, cannot receive a
rational foundation, it seems licit to assert that the
result of any inductive
inference is irrational. In order to precisely describe
the Humean criticism I am
going to show how Hume presents his theories concerning
causal reasoning in
this A Treatise of Human Nature, define the exact
characteristics of causal
reasoning according to him, and compare this analysis to
those by some of his
main critics. We shall try to bring to light the proposed
inadequacy of the latter.
Next we will discuss some of the most celebrated
interpretations of Hume´s
philosophy, specially those by of Mackie, Beauchamp and
Mappes. The final
chapter aims at showing the rational characteristics that
can be assigned to
Humean causal reasoning emphasizing the particular
character of his
inferences. Finally, we show how the origin of the copy
principle can be an
instance of the use of inductive inferences by Hume, which
allows us to risk
some heterodox hypotheses concerning his view of
rationality.
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Les sympathies dans l’œuvre de David HumeAudy, Marie-Hélène 08 1900 (has links)
La sympathie comme principe par lequel une idée se convertit en impression n’est pas la seule espèce de sympathie employée par David Hume dans ses ouvrages. Le terme «sympathie» possédait des sens variés dans le langage courant au XVIIIème siècle, et il arrive que le philosophe écossais se serve du terme «sympathie» dans l’un ou l’autre de ces sens. C’est ainsi que, outre son concept philosophique, Hume se sert du terme «sympathie» suivant cinq autres sens. L’identification des différentes sortes de sympathie présentes dans les ouvrages de Hume a permis de mieux comprendre ce qu’il en était de la nature de son concept philosophique de sympathie. Ainsi, on a pu comprendre quels rapports la sympathie entretenait avec un autre principe de production d’affections mentionné à l’occasion par Hume : la contagion. Ainsi, on a également pu comprendre quels rapports la sympathie entretenait avec d’autres éléments de la philosophie humienne, tels que les esprits animaux, leurs mouvements et les émotions. Les analyses ont démontré, par ailleurs, que les esprits animaux et leurs mouvements jouaient un rôle de premier plan dans la théorie humienne des passions et que le principe de la sympathie, au final, désignait l’augmentation de l’agitation des esprits animaux. C’est ainsi que la sympathie entendue comme principe par lequel une idée était convertie en impression désignait un mécanisme physiologique chez Hume. Les analyses ont également démontré que les impressions que Hume nommait «émotions» désignaient plus particulièrement le mouvement des esprits animaux. Qu’ainsi, l’on devait considérer qu’il y avait dans la taxonomie du philosophe écossais non seulement des perceptions de l’entendement humain (idées, passions, sentiments, etc.) mais également des perceptions du corps humain (émotions) et que celles-ci étaient en correspondance étroite avec celles-là. On peut ainsi faire l’hypothèse qu’il y a dans la philosophie humienne des éléments susceptibles de fonder une théorie de l’union entre l’âme et le corps. La considération de la sympathie comme un principe physiologique d’agitation des esprits animaux permet que l’on jette un regard nouveau sur la façon dont David Hume concevait la nature humaine. / Sympathy, as a principle by which an idea is converted into an impression, is not the only kind of sympathy that David Hume employs in his works. Hume refers to several of the multiple distinct meanings that the term afforded in 18th century vernacular. The thesis argue that in the end the Scottish philosopher uses the word “sympathy” with five different meanings, besides his own philosophical concept. Identifying these meanings as they appear throughout Hume’s body of work provided a greater understanding of the nature of his own philosophical concept of sympathy. This brought to light the relationship between sympathy and another affection-producing principle that Hume occasionally mentions: contagion. Similarly, this granted insight into the interplay between sympathy and other elements in Hume’s philosophy, especially the animal spirits, their movements, and emotions. Indeed, this analysis has uncovered the key role that animal spirits and their movements play in Hume’s theory of passions, observing that his principle of sympathy merely describes an increase in the agitation of animal spirits. Consequently, sympathy as a principle of conversion of an idea into an impression describes what is in fact in Hume’s thinking a physiological mechanism. Further, this investigation has shown that those impressions which Hume calls “emotions” specifically refer to the movement of animal spirits. Therefore, we must recognize that Hume’s taxonomy not only includes perceptions in human understanding (ideas, passions, sentiments, etc.), but also integrates perceptions in the human body (emotions), and that they are closely correlated. This leads to the hypothesis that there are in Hume’s philosophical works enough elements to delineate a theory of the relationship between body and mind (or soul). Understanding sympathy as a physiological mechanism involving the agitation of animal spirits offers a new outlook on David Hume's conception of human nature.
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Para além de Deus e da natureza: Elementos de filosofia trágica nos diálogos sobre a religião de David HumeSilva, Gilberto Cabral da 26 August 2005 (has links)
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Previous issue date: 2005-08-26 / Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico / This Work intends an epistemological approach of David Hume s Dialogues Concerning Natural Religion by French philosopher Clément Rosset s category of tragic philosophy . We propose a new interpretative possibility of Hume s thought in the Dialogues, different form the naturalism and beyond the simple skepticism . The concept of tragic philosophy allows one to think the Dialogues Concerning Natural Religion as a work of tragic philosophy, in which the concept of nature is completely dissolved by the skeptic arguments. / Esta dissertação pretende uma abordagem epistemológica dos Diálogos sobre a Religião Natural de David Hume por meio da categoria de filosofia trágica , trabalhada pelo filósofo francês Clément Rosset. Propomos uma nova possibilidade interpretativa do pensamento de David Hume, diferente do naturalismo e além do simples ceticismo. O conceito de filosofia trágica permite pensar os Diálogos sobre a Religião Natural como uma obra de filosofia trágica, na qual é efetuada, através dos argumentos céticos, a completa dissolução do conceito de natureza .
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Att (om)tolka det väletablerade : En tematisk litteraturstudie, om hur arvsyndsläran skildras och förnyas hos Jean-Jacques Rousseau och David Hume / To (re)interpret the well-established : A thematic literature study, about how the doctrine of the original sin are portrayed and renewed in Jean-Jacques Rousseau and David Humes worksSkygebjerg, Hanna January 2015 (has links)
This essay focus on Jean-Jacques Rousseau and David Hume and how they in their writings describe the doctrine of the original sin, and what they replace it with. The theoretical framework this essay work form, is Peter. L Bergers theories concerning society and religion as a social construction, were religious systems purpose is to establish order and previewed a meaning for people. From a history point of view religious system and institutions have had a significant role in establish system that will provide people with explanations about the world. In the eighteenth century, during the period in Europe often named as the enlightenment a new sort of criticism took place against religion. My study shows that in the part of Rousseau’s work Émile that goes under the name The Savoy priest's confession the doctrine of the original sin, is replaced with a faith in the human nature. Doctrines such as the original sin is for Rousseau something that is formed by humans in society, and has nothing to do with God. In the second part of Hume’s work Dialogues concerning natural religion, the dialogue shifts and focus on more moral concepts of religion, and also the question of evil, sin etc. Hume’s work presents three solutions instead of one.
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El doble momento: la visión moral de la historia en "La casa de los espíritus" de Isabel AllendeFraser, Barbara 30 August 2007 (has links)
This thesis examines the representation of social conditions and historical events in Isabel Allende's first novel from a moral perspective. Using David Hume's moral theory, we explore Allende's judgement of the causes of the 1973 Chilean coup d'etat based on her representation of both the event itself and the social conditions surrounding it. The thematic focus of this study is on issues of affectivity and violence in the novel. This thesis is written in Spanish.
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El doble momento: la visión moral de la historia en "La casa de los espíritus" de Isabel AllendeFraser, Barbara 30 August 2007 (has links)
This thesis examines the representation of social conditions and historical events in Isabel Allende's first novel from a moral perspective. Using David Hume's moral theory, we explore Allende's judgement of the causes of the 1973 Chilean coup d'etat based on her representation of both the event itself and the social conditions surrounding it. The thematic focus of this study is on issues of affectivity and violence in the novel. This thesis is written in Spanish.
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A tese das ideias abstratas de David HumeMelo, Gustavo Oliveira Fernandes 13 November 2013 (has links)
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Previous issue date: 2013-11-13 / Financiadora de Estudos e Projetos / According to David Hume, the mind is unable to form another kind of idea that is not particular (See: Summary, § 28), ie, it is impossible to form an idea that, at one time, represent many different particular perceptions. When we encounter this thesis, a matter we soon came to mind: as a general term is then formed, ie, how they are formed those words that denote more than one particular perception (perceptions simple or complex)? In order to find an answer to this question, we decided to investigate the structure and genesis of the thesis of abstract ideas in the Treatise of Human Nature, since this is the thesis responsible for forming the general terms. And to achieve this we focus on the genesis of general terms that denote particular qualities. Therefore, we believe that there is a major difficulty for an empiricist conceiving a thesis about the abstract ideas. / Segundo David Hume, não podemos formar outro tipo de ideia senão particular (Cf.: Resumo, §28), ou seja, é impossível formar uma ideia que, a um só tempo, represente várias percepções particulares diferentes. Ao nos deparar com essa tese, uma questão logo nos veio à mente: como um termo geral então é formado, ou seja, como são formadas aquelas palavras que denotam mais de uma percepção particular, sejam elas complexas ou simples? A fim de encontrar uma resposta para essa questão, resolvemos investigar a estrutura e a gênese da tese das ideias abstratas no Tratado da natureza humana, já que, para Hume, é esta a tese responsável por formar um termo geral. E para alcançar esse objetivo, nos focamos na gênese de termos gerais que denotam qualidades particulares. Acreditamos, pois, que ali está a principal dificuldade, para um empirista, em conceber uma tese acerca das ideias abstratas.
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Bayesianismo e o problema da indução: uma avaliação crítica da abordagem de Colin Howson / Bayesianism and the problem of induction: a critical evaluation on Colin Howson's approachSouza, Pedro Bravo de [UNESP] 18 September 2018 (has links)
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Previous issue date: 2018-09-18 / Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP) / Objetivamos avaliar a razoabilidade da abordagem bayesiana de Colin Howson ao problema da indução, tal como formulado por David Hume. Propomos que uma abordagem ao problema da indução será razoável se nossa compreensão da indução não regride em relação àquela fornecida por Hume. Por sua vez, o bayesianismo é uma corrente teórica derivada da adoção das teses conhecidas como gradualismo, probabilismo e revisão pela condicionalização; seu mérito é fornecer um modelo para representar e atualizar graus de crença. Em seu turno, o problema da indução configura-se como a busca para justificar racionalmente argumentos indutivos, tendo em vista a tese humeana segundo a qual é impossível fazê-lo, seja mediante argumentos demonstrativos, seja mediante argumentos prováveis. Para satisfazer a nosso objetivo, esta Dissertação divide-se em quatro capítulos. No primeiro capítulo, expomos o problema da indução e como Howson o interpreta. No segundo capítulo, comentamos propostas de solução ao problema da indução analisadas por ele. No terceiro capítulo, introduzimos conceitos e teses de probabilidade e bayesianismo. No quarto capítulo, apresentamos, em primeiro lugar, as teses específicas de Howson em relação ao problema da indução; em segundo lugar, criticamos sua interpretação de Hume, suas objeções a outras abordagens e sua própria proposta; finalmente, averiguamos a sua razoabilidade. Finalizamos o trabalho sintetizando as considerações realizadas. / We aim to evaluate the reasonability of Colin Howson’s bayesian approach to the problem of induction, as elaborated by David Hume. We propose that an approach to the problem of induction will be reasonable if our induction understanding does not regress in relation to that provided by Hume. In turn, bayesianism is a theoretical position derived from the adoption of gradualism, probabilism and conditionalization theses; its merit is to provide a model for representing and updating degrees of belief. The problem of induction is the search to rationally justify inductive arguments, due to the humean thesis according to which it is impossible to do so, neither through demonstrative arguments, nor through probable arguments. To achieve our goal, this Dissertation is divided into four chapters. In the first chapter, we expose the problem of induction and how Howson interprets it. In the second chapter, we discuss solutions to the problem of induction analyzed by him. In the third chapter, we introduce probability and bayesianism concepts and theses. In the fourth chapter, we present, first, Howson’s specific theses regarding the problem of induction; second, we criticize his interpretation of Hume, his objections to other approaches, and his own proposal; finally, we examine whether it is reasonable or not. We finish this master’s degree dissertation summarizing ours considerations. / FAPESP: 16/03251-2 e 16/25125-9
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Art as Negation: A Defense of Conceptual Art as ArtWeis, Kristin K. 26 April 2016 (has links)
No description available.
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