Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of Texas at Austin, 1989. / Vita. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 206-217).

Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of California, Santa Cruz 2002. / Typescript. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 101-108).

Thesis (Ph. D.)--Stanford University, 2005. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 73-77).

Thesis (Ph. D.)--George Washington University, 1989. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 205-211).

Thesis--University of Wisconsin--Madison. / Typescript. Vita. eContent provider-neutral record in process. Description based on print version record. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 259-264).

This thesis is an exercise in applied methodology. Ideas in the history and philosophy of science which have proved to be influential in the methodology of economics, and in shaping economists' self-image in this regard, are selected for closer analysis and criticism. The main ideas that are addressed are those of empiricism, with emphasis on the methodological falsificationism of Karl Popper and Imre Lakatos, and Laudan's problem solving model of scientific progress . The thesis examines the relationship between empirical evidence, in the form of both econometric test results and stylized facts, and the development of theories about exchange rates and the open economy. This analysis begins with Cassel's formulation of purchasing power parity theory in 1916, through the elasticities, absorption, and Mundell-Fleming models of exchange rates and the balance of payments, up to the present day monetary and asset market models. This is done with regard to the broad methodological issues examined earlier in the thesis. Some of the main empirical and methodological difficulties in testing such theories are addressed, with particular reference to the role played by the Duhem-Quine thesis and the ceteris paribus assumption. Although some of these difficulties may be regarded as a matter of degree compared to similar problems in the natural sciences, it is argued that this difference is significant for the workability of falsification in economics . Moreover, the presence of hypotheses about expectations in many economic theories appears to be a substantive difference such that the difficulties posed by the Duhem-Quine thesis apply with much greater force in a social science like economics. The main conclusions are that neither the Popperian nor Lakatosian versions of falsification are seriously practiced in the area of exchange rate economics and that, unlike the position taken by advocates of falsification such as Mark Blaug, it would be inappropriate and misguided to do so. A tentative case is made, with some reference to the theories surveyed in this thesis, for the possibly greater relevance of Laudan' s more pragmatic problem solving model for the methodology of economics, particularly as regards his analysis and emphasis on conceptual problem solving in the progress of knowledge.

Note:

No description available.

M.Com. (Economics) / The objective of the thesis was to examine the relationship between the rand exchange rate and the interest rate under the floating exchange rate system. A theoretical analysis of previous exchange rate regimes with a particular emphasis on the floating exchange rate system was conducted. At the end of the sixties it became evident that the limitations of the fixed exchange rate system were such that it could no longer handle the tensions which had developed in the international monetary system with its great dependence on the US dollar as reserve currency and unit of accounting. The floating exchange rate system deregulates the international monetary system. Market forces are allowed to play a more prominent role in determining a price variable such as the exchange rate. This flexibility has led to the globalization and internationalization of the world's fund markets.

by Fok Shun-cheong, Vincent. / Thesis (M.B.A.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 1991. / Bibliography: leaves [37-38] / ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS / Chapter I. --- INTRODUCTION --- p.1 / The Hong Kong Exchange Market --- p.1 / Structure of the market --- p.2 / Forecasting Exchange Rates --- p.4 / Objectives --- p.5 / Chapter II. --- METHODOLOGY --- p.6 / Selecting the Bases for Forecasting --- p.6 / Sampling --- p.9 / Chapter III. --- THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK --- p.10 / Chapter 1. --- Investment Objectives --- p.10 / Chapter 2. --- Time Frame --- p.11 / Chapter 3. --- Funds Available --- p.12 / Chapter 4. --- Time Available --- p.12 / Chapter 5. --- Information Available --- p.13 / Chapter 6. --- Transaction Nature and Cost --- p.14 / Chapter 7. --- Knowledge and Background --- p.14 / Chapter 8. --- Position Taking --- p.14 / Chapter 9. --- Past Experience --- p.16 / Chapter 10. --- External Influences --- p.16 / Chapter IV. --- SURVEY FINDINGS --- p.18 / Individual Investors / Chapter A. --- The Level of Exchange Rate and Interest Rate --- p.18 / Chapter B. --- Seldom use of Charts and Technical Indicators --- p.19 / Chapter C. --- No Relationship between Demographic Variables and Forecasting Bases --- p.19 / Chapter D. --- No Relationship between the Experience of the respondents and the Forecasting Bases --- p.20 / Dealers / Chapter A. --- Charts often considered --- p.22 / Chapter B. --- Technical Indicators also important --- p.22 / Chapter C. --- Emphasis on the Fundamental rather than Technical Analysis --- p.23 / Chapter D. --- Market Sentiments --- p.24 / Chapter E. --- Econometric Models Seldom Used --- p.25 / Chapter F. --- Differences among the six major currencies --- p.27 / Chapter V. --- LIMITATIONS OF THE SURVEY --- p.29 / Chapter VII. --- SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS --- p.30 / APPENDICES / BIBLIOGRAPHY