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Momentum Strategies in Foreign Exchange Futures MarketChu, Chu-wei 26 June 2010 (has links)
none
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Theoretical and Empirical Analysis of the Exchange Rate ExposureLin, Yu-Chih 21 June 2007 (has links)
This dissertation includes three issues, however, they are all adopted the view of firm¡¦s foreign exchange rate exposure to do the research. The main results of three topics as follows:
In the first topic, this study uses the example of a Taiwanese firm investing in China and develops an exchange rate exposure model which depends on only four endogenous variables: the percentage of the firm¡¦s revenues denoted in the currency of trade country, the percentage of the firm¡¦s expenses denoted in the currency of trade country and third country, and its profit rate. The main issue in this research attempts to detect whether producing goods in the third country will affect a multinational firm on the exchange rate exposure and whether the currency manipulation will affect the decision of producing goods in the third country. This study finds that if a multinational firm can effectively adjust operational strategy and match foreign currency income with its cost, most of the exposure can be reduced. Besides this reducible effect of operational strategy, it is worth to note that diversified strategy just works under some conditions. For example, whether producing goods in the third country or not, the firm¡¦s exposure will not make changes as long as the currency is equal to its true value. However, under the case of currency manipulation, the firm producing goods in the third country can reduce exchange rate risk further.
In the second topic, this paper studies the sensitivity of the cash flows generated by Chinese and Taiwanese firms to the movements in a trade-weighted exchange rate index, as well as to the currencies of their major trading partners. To overcome the deficiencies in previous researches using variations of the market-based model, this paper adopts the polynomial distributed lag (PDL) model to investigate the relative importance of transaction exposure versus economic exposure by decomposing exchange risk into short-term and long-term components. In contrast to the market-based model, we find that PDL model is better in detecting exposures with evidence confirmed both in China and Taiwan markets. Furthermore, our empirical results also verify past findings in Taiwan market that firms with higher foreign involvement have larger exchange rate exposure, firms with larger size have less exchange rate exposure, firms with larger exporting business are less exposed to the currency of primary exporting country, and firms with larger importing business are less exposed to the currency of primary importing country. However, these results are seldom agreed in China market. These findings imply that the exchange rate under the pegging regime and the floating system significantly affects firms in managing their exchange risk.
In the third topic, it is generally argued that the choice of an appropriate exchange rate regime depends on which regime minimizes fluctuations in output, consumption, domestic price level, or some other macroeconomic variables. However, our study provides alternative analytic evidences on the firm-specific behavior. Using the real performance of operating income, this paper attempts to investigate the impact of fluctuating currencies on the values of U.S., Chinese, and Taiwanese companies. We find that the Chinese companies have more short-term exposures under the pegged regime, and the U.S. companies have more long-term exposures under the floating regime. Under the managed floating system, optimal lag length for Taiwanese companies is close to that of U.S. companies. However, the magnitude of exposure for Taiwanese companies is close to that of Chinese companies. These findings imply that the exchange rate under different exchange rate regimes significantly affects firms in managing their exchange risk.
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The Impact of Information on Volatility in Taiwan's Foreign Exchange MarketHsu, Ju-Wen 26 July 2002 (has links)
In the early stage, the fixed exchange rate policy was established in Taiwan, with focus on the exchange of NT Dollar to US dollar. After undergoing the changes of flexible exchange rate system, the regulation of exchange rate gradually renovates. On January 30, 1991, the exchange rate system changed to a managed floating system that allows the exchange rate to be more liberal. The spot USD trading price is no longer restricted by the upper or lower limit among banks, and the negotiation of trading price is completely free. As the exchange for NTD to USD becomes more liberal, the issue of the factors behind the price fluctuation on NTD to USD has become an interesting subject to study.
This paper investigates Taiwan¡¦s foreign exchange market in order to discover the factors that cause the price volatility, whether it is private information or macroeconomic news announcement of public information. This study examines the exchange rate occurred every 15 minutes during January 5, 1992 to November 27, 2001. Given the result that the increase of macroeconomic news announcement does not increase the volatility, the volatility in Taiwan¡¦s foreign exchange market is mainly caused by private information, not public information. Although the return variance is comparatively higher than the return variance in other normal time period during the macroeconomic news announcement, the highest return variance before the trade close does not occur at the time of public news announcement. It represents that the occurrence of volatility is not affected by the macroeconomic news announcement. If foreign exchange volatility is not affected by macroeconomic news announcement of public information, then private information might be the major factor affecting the price volatility. The findings are as follows:
1. The volatility in trading period is much higher than the volatility in non-trading period, demonstrating the existence of ¡§exchange message effectiveness¡¨. Meanwhile, it also states that public information is not the only information existing in the market. Even at the most efficient market, the informative pricing has reflected all the public information. The macroeconomic news announcement of public information would not affect the price volatility, the asset pricing volatility is affected by the private information.
2. Trading time become longer which makes the informed trader not necessary to trade in a hurry, diverging the volatility of transaction.
3. The volatility at closing period increases because of the occurrence of private information. It may downgrade to public information during non-trading period. People holding valuable private information would trade before the market is close.
Concluded from above, it can be discovered that the private information has played an important role incurring the large volatility in Taiwan¡¦s foreign exchange market.
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Difference in foreign exchange risk management betweem family and non-family owned firmsSibhatu, Temesgen, Mahmod, Dalia Garsa Mahmod, Rubil, Goran January 2005 (has links)
<p>Financial risk as a result of trade in foreign currencies is inevitable for firms that are engaged in international trade. However the decision how to manage this risk differs from one firm to another. This difference can be a result of the type of ownership in the individual firm.One of the classifications of the type of firms that have different can be categorized as family firms and non-family firms.</p><p>Studies have showen that family firms differ in their use of control systems and financial management techniques. The difference is explained by the type of ownership. As a consequence of the differences, family and non-family firms may differe in their decision making with respect to foreign risk management.</p><p>This thesis compaires the practice of foreign exchange risk management in family and non-family firms.the objective is to asses if family firms and non-family firms differe in their decision making to currency exposure management. The effect of the involvement of family members in the management of currency risk will also be addressed.</p><p>Finaly, the paper will provide some recommandetions to firms exposed to foreign exchange risk.</p>
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395 |
Capital liberalization, capital flows, and monetary policy responses on exchange market : the case of Korea /Chung, Jae-Ho, January 2001 (has links)
Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of Missouri-Columbia, 2001. / Typescript. Vita. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 115-120). Also available on the Internet.
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396 |
Overseas stock listings and delistings : causes and effects /Liu, Shinhua, January 2001 (has links)
Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of Missouri-Columbia, 2001. / Typescript. Vita. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 120-126). Also available on the Internet.
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Applications of copula theory in financial econometrics /Patton, Andrew John, January 2002 (has links)
Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of California, San Diego, 2002. / Vita. Includes bibliographical references.
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398 |
Capital liberalization, capital flows, and monetary policy responses on exchange market the case of Korea /Chung, Jae-Ho, January 2001 (has links)
Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of Missouri-Columbia, 2001. / Typescript. Vita. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 115-120). Also available on the Internet.
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399 |
Overseas stock listings and delistings causes and effects /Liu, Shinhua, January 2001 (has links)
Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of Missouri-Columbia, 2001. / Typescript. Vita. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 120-126). Also available on the Internet.
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400 |
Essays on the analysis of structural changes in macroeconomic time series /Choi, Kyongwook, January 2002 (has links)
Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of Washington, 2002. / Vita. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 109-119).
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