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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
321

Prediction of large price changes in the energy market using extreme value statistics

Le, Minxian January 2011 (has links)
In this project we have first and foremost been comparing the performance of the ACER method with the POT method in the prediction of extreme values from the heavy tailed distributions; especially for data from the energy markets. The energy market is an exciting dynamic market where small singularities can make large differences in the price. Therefore it is very important and challenging to analyse and make predictions in this market. We have also analysed a dataset which is not from the energy market, to compare and see the main differences between the two markets. We have also taken in consideration of removing the return value for the dates of maturity to see whether this will have any influence on the results.The main concept of the POT method is to find a threshold, $u$, and let the excesses be distributed by the Generalised Pareto Distribution. Whilst for the ACER method, we assume a specific shape of the tail, which in this project was of the kind Fréchet. We have done this analysis for five different data sets where two of them have been considered with and without their expiration dates. We have also filtrated the data sets with an AR-GARCH filter, and then used the POT and ACER on the residuals from the process. We have found out that both methods are not greatly influenced by the filtration, but we see the tendency of the POT method predicting a heavier tail than the ACER method. Further on, we can say that there are no significant large effects of removing the return values for the dates of maturity. Lastly, the data sets from the energy market prove themselves much more heavy tailed than for the data set from Norsk Hydro.
322

Three Approaches in Computational Geometry and Topology : Persistent Homology, Discrete Differential Geometry and Discrete Morse Theory

Botnan, Magnus Bakke January 2011 (has links)
We study persistent homology, methods in discrete differential geometry and discrete Morse theory. Persistent homology is applied to computational biology and range image analysis. Theory from differential geometry is used to define curvature estimates of triangulated hypersurfaces. In particular, a well-known method for triangulated surfacesis generalised to hypersurfaces of any dimension. The thesis concludesby discussing a discrete analogue of Morse theory.
323

A Comparison Study of Different Optimizing Criteria and Confounding Patterns For Multi-Level Binary Replacement and Other Designs Used in Computer Experiments

Thalberg, Hege Grøstad January 2011 (has links)
We have constructed four different types of designs for computer experiments. Thedesign types are based on latin hypercube sampling (LHS), orthogonal arrays (OA), ran-dom sampling and the recently proposed multi-level binary replacement (MBR) design.For each type of design we have attempted to find the best possible design out of acertain number of constructed designs using three different optimizing criteria: the alias sum of square criterion (ASSC), the L-criterion and a modified A-criterion. The chosen design has then been tested by fitting an approximate model and calculating maximum error (MAX) and root mean squared error (RMSE) values. We observed that out of the three criteria applied the ASSC performed the best.In addition to comparing criteria for optimizing the design choice, we have alsoconstructed non-optimized designs for comparing the different design types and thedifferent ways of constructing MBR designs. In this setting we observed that OA designsperformed well in general, whereas the MBR designs performed well when restricted toa small number of factors.
324

Numerical approximation of conformal mappings

Luteberget, Bjørnar Steinnes January 2010 (has links)
A general introduction to conformal maps and the Riemann mapping theorem is given. Three methods for numerically approximating conformal maps from arbitrary domains to the unit disc are presented: the Schwarz-Christoffel method, the geodesic algorithm and the circle packing method. Basic implementations of the geodesic algorithm and the circle packing method were made, and program code is presented. Applications of these numerical methods to problems in physics and mathematical research are briefly discussed.
325

Photoprotection of riboflavin containing beverages

Øyangen, Julia January 2012 (has links)
Riboflavin, also known as vitamin B2 and one of the most easily absorbed nutrients,can be found in many different organisms. The most abundant source of riboflavin ismilk and dairy products; however it is also present in meat, fish and certain types ofvegetables and fruit. Riboflavin is an important part of a healthy diet in order to keep skin, eyes and nervous systems healthy. Some studies indicate that riboflavin plays an important role in cancer and cardiovascular diseases.As known, milk is extremely sensitive to light. Riboflavin is one of the factorsresponsible for the light-induced degradation of milk. In combination with light andoxygen riboflavin may act as a photosensitizer. When vitamin B2 absorbs blue-greenlight, an excited triplet state of riboflavin is generated through a process called intersystem crossing. Reactive oxygen species, such as singlet oxygen, is then formed by reaction of excited riboflavin triplet with dissolved oxygen present in milk. Light exposure of milk can lead to off-flavor and damage of vitamins by reaction of singlet oxygen with amino acids and lipids in milk. Unfortunately, most of the packaging materials today do not protect milk from light completely. The formation of singlet oxygen can also be prevented by adding quenchers that are able to deactivate riboflavin triplets.Certain amino acids and carotenoids are well known flavin quenchers.The purpose of this study was to investigate how well riboflavin triplets can bequenched by amino acids cysteine, histidine, methionine, tyrosine and tryptophan. Thequenching properties of hydrophilic carotenoid crocin were studied as well. Crocinhas been under investigation of researches at the Departement of Physics at NTNU.Lumiflavin, which is one of the riboflavin’s photodegradation products, was used instead of riboflavin. The former is more stable and has similar photochemical characteristics as the latter.The quenching of lumiflavin triplets was studied by using laser flash photolysis. Itconsists of irradiating the sample under investigation with a short-lived laser flash. The method was used to measure the kinetic decay rate of lumiflavin in aqueous buffer with and without different concentrations of a quencher. The data were fitted to two different decay models. From pseudo-first-order rate constants the quenching rate constants were determined for each amino acid and crocin. All amino acids and crocin used in this study showed a quenching effect on the lumiflavin triplets. Further, it was determined whether the fitting models are suitable for these kind of measurements by simulating the decay of lumiflavin with and without any quencher. More studies on the fitting models have to be done to be able to get reliable results.
326

Multiscale Finite Volume Methods : Extension to Unstructured Grids with Applications in Reservoir Simulation

Møyner, Olav January 2012 (has links)
In reservoir simulations, one of the biggest challenges is solving large modelswith complex geological properties. Because reservoirs can be several kilome-ters long, and still be geologically inhomogeneous over centimeters, the com-putational power required to solve a full set of mass balance equations can beimmense. Several methods for overcoming this challenge has been proposed,including various upscaling and multiscale methods.One of these approaches is the Multiscale Finite Volume (MsFV) method, whichaims to create a set of basis functions for the pressure which can be computedin parallel and reused for different boundary conditions. This thesis aims togive a thorough study of the MsFV-method itself, before extending it to threedimensional, unstructured grids. An implementation was done as a modulefor the MATLAB Reservoir Simulation Toolbox developed by SINTEF AppliedMathematics. A new variant of the method designed to overcome some of thecomputational challenges arising from an extension to 3D was also formulated.The implementation was then applied to both synthetic and realistic gridsand permeabilities, and compared against a full two point flux approximation(TPFA) solver.
327

Statistical Methods for Multiple Testing in Genome-Wide Association Studies

Halle, Kari Krizak January 2012 (has links)
In Genome-Wide Association Studies (GWAS) the aim is to look for associationbetween genetic markers and phenotype (disease). For each genetic marker weperform an hypothesis test. Since the number of markers is high (in the order of hundred thousands), we use multiple hypothesis tests. One popular strategy in multippel testing is to estimate an effective number of independent tests, and then use methods based on independent tests to control the total type I error. The focus of this thesis has been to study different methods for estimating the effective number of independent tests. The methods are applied to a large data set on bipolar disorder and schizophrenia in Norwegian individuals from the TOP study at the University of Oslo and Oslo University Hospital (OUS). A key featureof these methods is the correlation between the genetic markers. The methodsconsidered in this thesis are based on either haplotype or genotype correlation andone focus of this thesis has been to study the difference between haplotype andgenotype correlation.
328

Prediction of Lithology/Fluid Classes from Petrophysical and Elastic Observations

Straume, Elisabeth January 2012 (has links)
The objective of this study is to classify lithology/fluid(LF) variables along depth profiles. The classification is done by a Bayesian inversion method to obtain the posterior probability density functions(PDFs) for the LF classes at every depth, given data in form of petrophysical variables or elastic properties. In this way we determine the most probable lithology/fluid profile. A stationary Markov chain prior model will be used to model the continuity of the LF classes a priori. The likelihood relates the LF classes to data. A statistical rock-physics forward model is used to relate the petrophysical variables to elastic attributes. This will be done for synthetic test data inspired by a North Sea sandstone reservoir and for real test data in form of a well log from the North Sea. Data for the synthetic case is either the petrophysical variables or the elastic properties. For the real data is only the elastic properties considered.
329

Gryphon - a Module for Time Integration of Partial Differential Equations in FEniCS

Skare, Knut Erik January 2012 (has links)
This thesis aims to implement time integrators in the FEniCS framework. More specifically, the thesis focuses on selecting suitable time integrators, implement these and verify that the implementation works by applying them to various relevant test problems. This work resulted in a module for FEniCS, named Gryphon. The thesis is divided into four parts.The first part builds a theoretical framework which will motivate why singly diagonally implicit Runge-Kutta methods with an explicit first stage (ESDIRKs) should be considered for solving stiff ordinary differential equations (ODEs). It will also be shown how an ESDIRK method can be utilized to solve time dependent partial differential equations (PDEs) by solving the semidiscretized system arising from first applying a finite element method. We will restrict our attention to PDEs which either give rise to a pure ODE system or a DAE (differential-algebraic equation) system of index 1.The second part discusses the implementation of Gryphon, focusing on why such a module is useful and how the source code is structured.The third part is devoted to numerical experiments on the ESDIRK solvers implemented in Gryphon. The experiments will establish convergence and give some run-time statistics for various ESDIRK schemes. We will also see that L-stability is a favorable trait when working with stiff equations, by comparing an ESDIRK method to the trapezoidal rule. It will also be verified that the step size selectors implemented in Gryphon behaves as expected. As test problems we consider the heat equation, the Fisher-Kolmogorov equation, the Gray-Scott equations, the Fitzhugh-Nagumo equations and the Cahn-Hilliard equations.The fourth part is a user manual for Gryphon. All the parameters which can be changed by the user are explained. The manual also includes example code for solving the heat equation, the Gray-Scott equations and the Cahn-Hilliard equation, to get the reader starting on solving their own problems.
330

Anonymity in Network Connections for Mobile Communication

Henriksen, Ragne Elisabeth January 2012 (has links)
This thesis summarizes an existing protocol, that we have chosen to call the Token Key Agreement protocol. It then goes on to introduce two new protocols we have chosen to name the Symmetric Key Agreement protocol and the Asymmetric Key Agreement protocol. We are working within the UC framework, and as such introduce ideal functionalities and protocol descriptions for the protocols. For the first protocol we also introduce a simulated adversary. Further, the paper includes an overview of the security offered by the three protocols.

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