A decade of growth and wealth generation in Russia ended in 2009 with the collapse in GDP and rising unemployment. This Great Recession added new economic challenges to the ‘old’ problems facing children and families, including widening income inequalities and the phenomenon of social orphanage. One question is how the new and existing material pressures affect parent–child relationships. This research contributes to the answer by examining, in aggregate terms, the role poverty plays in the allocation of parental time in this emerging economy. Utilising a nationally representative sample of children, it explores how child interactions with parents are affected by aggregate and idiosyncratic shocks. Drawing on the rational choice paradigm and its critique, we put forward the Parental Time Equilibrium as an analytical guide to the study. This theoretical approach presents individual decisions concerning time spent with children over the long term as the product of a defined equilibrium between resources and demands for involvement. We test this approach through pooled cross-sectional and panel analyses based on the Russian Longitudinal Monitoring Survey dataset from 2007 to 2009. Children in low-income households face the double disadvantage of a lack of money and time investments at home, with both persistent and transient poverty being associated with lower than average parental time inputs in the sample. Moreover, while on average, we find that children do maintain the amount of time they spend with their parents under conditions of severe financial strain, low–income children lose out on play time with the mother. Material resources cannot be considered in isolation from structural disadvantages, of which rural location in particular is detrimental for parent–child time together. The study demonstrates that the cumulative stress of adverse macro-economic conditions and depleted material resources makes it difficult for parents to sustain their human investment in children. The evidence this study provides on the associations between economic stress and pa-rental time allocations advances our knowledge of the disparities of in the childhood experience in modern Russian society. The findings strongly support the equal importance of available resources and basic demand for involvement, thus drawing policy attention to the need to address both in the best interests of children.

日本經濟自1990年起，由「日本第一」落入「流動性陷阱」，而陷入長達10多年的不景氣，主因是日本股市及不動產市場重挫，企業向銀行貸款所提供之擔保品價值下滑，卻因在低利率時代已過度借貸，又經營不善面臨虧損，發生償債困難，一旦財務有所改善，只想提前償還貸款，而無增加貸款意願，故稱為「資產負債表的衰退」（Balance Sheet Recession）。整體經濟景氣蕭條，國內需求不振，亦使振興經濟之寬鬆貨幣政策無法達到預期效果。 日本資產泡沫的破滅使銀行體系的逾放問題日益嚴重。日本政府為了加強銀行體系的健全性，實施金融改革（Big Bang）。使原本以傳統存、放款業務為主的銀行，在面臨國際化浪潮時，也能同時經營證券、保險業務，並將新金融商品引進日本。並由隸屬於內閣府的金融廳(Financial Services Agency)來監督日本銀行及證券業務，負責金融檢查及金融法規企劃業務，落實金融與財政分離之原則。但日本金融業務日益多元化，及衍生性金融商品日趨複雜，對金融監理機關之專業能力，形成新的挑戰。以上所述為日本國內的經濟與金融問題。 至於日圓對外幣的匯率方面，由於日圓利率偏低，套利交易(carry trade) 盛行。投資人趁著日本央行維持低利率之際，借入低成本的日圓資金，然後換成利率較高的外幣轉戰國際市場，追逐收益較高的資產，同時賺取利差、匯率及資產升值的價差，使日圓匯率的走勢疲弱，也造成全球金融市場的波動。 本論文的分析包含： ㄧ、日本經濟不景氣問題剖析：股市及不動產資產泡沫化 二、日本金融危機形成原因：資產價格下跌，影響抵押品價值，企業償債能力變差，故使銀行不良債權增加。 三、日本總體經濟近況（GDP、CPI、失業率的變化）及經濟復甦後日本央行貨幣政策的改變 四、日本金融市場如股市、房地產市場及日本政府債券（JGB）市場的分析及展望。 五、探討日本銀行業獲利能力、不良債權問題、資本適足率以及銀行業股價指數的變化。 六、根據台灣以及日本最近的發展對金融監理單位及銀行業提出應有的改革與建議。 / The Japanese economy fell into a “liquidity trap” in 1990. Due to the stock market and real estate market plunge, the deep recession has lasted for over 10 years. The bursting of asset bubbles caused the balance sheets of enterprises to become weaker and weaker. All companies hoped to reduce their debt to banks if they were profitable. They had no intention to reinvest any more. So it was called - Balance Sheet Recession. Even though the Bank of Japan adopted an easy monetary policy, the financial system remained vulnerable. With the bad debt of commercial banks increasing, the NPL (non-performing loan) problem has been a major concern for city banks and regional banks. Japan's "Big Bang" reforms radically altered its financial marketplace. The barriers separating banks, securities, and insurance companies were lowered. The Financial Services Agency replaced Ministry of Finance to oversee banking, securities and exchange and insurance in order to ensure the stability of the financial system. As for financial business diversified and derivative products complicated, there were many great challenges facing the financial regulatory authorities. During the past decade, the yen carry trade has become a target for many investors or speculators. Traders using this strategy attempt to capture the difference between the interest rates of two currencies. Taking USD/Yen for example, they borrowed the cheaper yen and invested in U.S. Treasuries yielding a higher interest rate. It causes the depreciation of Japanese Yen and increases the volatility of financial markets. This essay describes Japanese financial crisis, Japanese monetary policy, stock market, and real estate market. Besides, I analyze the profitability, capital adequacy, and non-performing problems of Japanese banks. Finally, I give my personal opinions on Taiwan and Japan’s banking industry.

This thesis analyses whether the concept of monetary sovereignty evolves under the impact of globalization and financial integration, and provides a framework for assessing what this implies. Thereby, this thesis contributes to a better understanding of both the contemporary exercise of sovereign powers in monetary and financial matters and of the driving forces behind the evolution of international law in this field. As elaborated in chapter 1, the contemporary concept of monetary sovereignty proposed by this thesis is not static but dynamic in nature. Due to the dual nature of sovereignty as a concept having not only positive but also important normative components, monetary sovereignty cannot become eroded under the impact of legal and economic constraints. Chapter 2 examines the ongoing hybridization of international monetary law arising from changes in the sources of this complex body of law, from the unsuitability of the categories of ‘hard’ and ‘soft’ law for characterizing all normative evolutions in this field, and from the rise of private and transnational monetary law. Chapter 3 scrutinizes the phenomenon of exchange rate misalignment under monetary and trade law. Intrinsically related, it assesses which aspects of the IMF’s legal framework should be reformed in order to tackle contemporary challenges to the stability of the international monetary system, such as global current account imbalances. Chapter 4 analyses the increasing regionalization of monetary sovereignty. It argues that, to the extent that transferring sovereign powers to a monetary union is what provides a state’s population with maximum monetary and financial stability, the underlying transfers are not a surrender of monetary sovereignty, but its effective exercise under the form of cooperative sovereignty. Finally, chapter 5 assesses the implications of the contemporary concept of monetary sovereignty proposed herein for the reorganization of the international financial architecture in the wake of the Great Recession.

Il y a quatre chapitres dans cette thèse.Dans le premier chapitre, nous analysons les intéractions entre le marché interbancaire et le risque de défaut souverain dans un modèle d’équilibre général à deux pays, en focalisant sur la transmission de la crise financière récente et la politique monétaire non conventionnelle.Dans le deuxième chapitre, les effets de la dévaluation fiscale sur les indicateurs macroéconomiques et le bien être sont analysés en utilisant un modèle à deux pays en union monétaire o`u les variétés de biens et le commerce sont endogènes.Dans le troisième chapitre, l’impact du facteur démographique sur la croissance du secteur des services à long terme est mis en exergue.Dans le quatrième chapitre, on étudie les effets de la mobilité des travailleurs et de la mobilité du capital dans une union monétaire. / This thesis studies challenges for modern developped economies, including the structural change toward services, population ageing, weak labor mobility in the EMU and unconventional monetary policies after the 2008 financial crisis. The manuscript is divided into four chapters.In the first chapter, we analyze the interaction between interbank markets and default risk using a two-country dynamic general equilibrium model, with a focus on the transmission of the recent financial crisis and unconventional monetary policies.In the second chapter, we investigate the effects of fiscal devaluations on key macroeconomic aggregates and welfare using a two-country monetary-union model with endogenous varieties and endogenous tradability.In the third chapter, we study the impact of demographic factor and the growth of service sector by using a multi-sectoral OLG model, and effectuate counterfactual experiments in which the annual growth rate of young generation is ±1pp than the actual growth rate.In the fourth chapter, we study the potential interactions between financial integration and labor mobility in a currency union facing asymmetric shocks, and simulate the impacts of 2008 financial crisis under different mobility costs.

La tesi ha lo scopo di inquadrare Giordani nel contesto del mondo culturale cattolico tra le due guerre e di approfondire la sua proposta di «cristianesimo integrale» come soluzione alla crisi che negli anni Venti e Trenta viziò il mondo economico, il sistema politico e lo scenario culturale, a livello di principi fondamentali, di valori. Per questo si è dato assoluto rilievo ai rapporti di Giordani con molti intellettuali suoi contemporanei e con varie istituzioni culturali cattoliche. Il testo segue dapprima un indirizzo biografico, che permette di ripercorrere la vita di Giordani dalla giovinezza, segnata dalla guerra e dall’esperienza al fronte, alla sua serena fine, nel 1980. Si tratta di una testimonianza di come la sua conseguenzialità tra fede e opere abbia inciso negli ambienti che lo hanno visto protagonista, tanto che è stato avviato per lui il processo di beatificazione. La ricerca è stata condotta tenendo conto degli scritti di Giordani e della storiografia precedente, ma soprattutto utilizzando numerosi materiali d’archivio. In particolare i carteggi privati aiutano a ricostruire l’operato di Giordani a favore dell’impegno degli intellettuali cattolici negli anni oscuri del fascismo e la sua indefessa attività per la realizzazione di un nuovo umanesimo. Altro spazio è stato riservato ai rapporti maturati da Giordani con due esponenti del mondo cattolico italiano di quel periodo, ovvero Giovanni Papini e Piero Bargellini. / This dissertation aims at setting Igino Giordani within the broader framework of the catholic cultural environment between the two world wars. It focuses on his proposal of an «integral Christianity» as a solution to the recession which threatened the fundamental values and principles of the economy, politics and culture during the 1920's and 1930's. This is the reason why the relationships between Giordani and many of his colleagues and cultural catholic institutions have been studied in depth. The work starts with a biography, underlining how Giordani's youth has been affected by the war and the experience as a soldier, up to his peaceful death, in 1980. His life shows how the consistency of his actions with his faith made him an influent personality in his working environments, to the point that the beatification process has begun. The research is based on Giordani's writings and on the previous historiography, but the most important source is constituted by a large number of archive documents. Particularly, Giordani's private correspondence has been very useful in understanding how he acted in order to support the engagement of the catholic intellectuals during the dark fascist age and his endless activity in order to build a new humanism. The work also focuses on the relationships between Giordani and two members of the Italian catholic world of the time: Giovanni Papini and Piero Bargellini.

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Dans cette thèse, je fournis une évaluation empirique des relations entre les principales variables macroéconomiques qui animent le cycle économique. Nous traitons dans chacun des trois chapitres une question empirique en utilisant une approche économétrique bayésienne. Dans le premier chapitre nous étudions la contribution conditionnelle des taux de transition du marché du travail (le taux de retour en emploi et le taux de séparation). La littérature n'est pas parvenue à un consensus sur lequel des taux dominent la dynamique du marché du travail. Alors que Blanchard et Diamond (1990) ont conclu que la baisse de l'emploi en période de récession résulte d'un taux de séparation plus élevé, Shimer (2012), ainsi que Hall (2005), expliquent que les variations du chômage sont principalement expliqués par la variation du taux de retour en emploi. Notre résultat, obtenu grâce à une estimation d'un modèle VAR structurel, montre que l'importance de chaque taux de transition dépend des chocs qui ont frappé le marché du travail et de l'importance des institutions du marché du travail. Dans le second chapitre, nous évaluons l'impact de la réforme du marché du travail réalisée par le Président des États-Unis H. Hoover au début de la Grande Dépression. Nous montrons que ces politiques ont permis à l'économie américaine d'échapper à une grande spirale déflationniste. L'estimation d'un modèle DSGE à l'échelle agrégée, nous permet de comparer deux effets opposés que ces politiques impliquent : effet négatif dû à une baisse de l'emploi et l'effet positif dû aux anticipations inflationnistes qui sont expansionnistes quand l'économie est dans la trappe à liquidité. Les résultats dépendent de la règle de politique monétaire que nous supposons : le principe de Taylor ou le ciblage du niveau de prix. Le troisième chapitre est consacré à la relation entre le taux d'intérêt réel et l'activité économique qui dépend du nombre des participants aux marchés financiers. En utilisant un modèle DSGE et en permettant à la proportion de ces agents d'être stochastiques en suivant une chaîne de Markov, nous identifions les périodes historiques où la proportion était assez faible pour inverser la courbe IS. Pour le cas des États-Unis, nous montrons que cette relation est positive pendant la période de la Grande Inflation et pendant une courte période au début de la Grande Récession. Dans l'union européenne, la proportion de non­-participants a été augmentée pendant les années 2009-2015 mais seulement pour amplifier la corrélation négative entre le taux d'intérêt réel et la croissance de la production. / In this thesis I provide an empirical assessment of the relations between the main macroeconomic variables that drive the Business Cycle. We treat the empirical question that arises in each chapter using Bayesian estimation. In the first chapter we investigate conditional contribution of the labor market transition rates (the job finding rate and the separation rate) to unemployment. The literature did not have a consensus on which rate dominates in explaining the labor market dynamics. While Blanchard and Diamond (1990) concluded that the fall in employment during slumps resulted from a higher separation rate, Shimer (2012), as well as Hall (2005), explain unemployment variations by mainly the job finding rate. Our result, obtained through an estimation of a structural VAR model, shows that the importance of the transition rated depends on the shocks that hit an economy and hence the importance of the labor market institutions. In the second chapter, we assess the impact of the labor market reform of the US president H. Hoover implemented at the beginning of the Great Depression. We show that these policies prevented the US economy to enter a big deflationary spiral. Estimating a medium scale DSGE model, we also compare two opposite effects these policies lead to: negative effect through a fall in employment and positive effect though inflationary expectations which are expansionary when monetary policy is irresponsive to the rise in prices. The results depend on the monetary policy rule we assume: The Taylor principle or price level targeting. The third chapter is devoted to the relation between the real interest rate and the economic activity which depends on the number of asset market participants. Using a DSGE model and allowing to the proportion of these agents to be stochastic and to follow a Markov chain, we identify the historical sub-periods where this proportion was low enough to reverse the IS curve. For the US case, we report the studied relation to be positive during the Great Inflation period and for a short period at the edge of the Great Recession. In the EA, the proportion of non-participants has been increased during 2009-2015, but only to amplify the negative correlation between the real interest rate and output growth.

Les conséquences des chocs économiques négatifs sur les ménages ont été documentés extensivement, mais on en sait beaucoup moins sur la manière dont ces chocs sont transmis aux individus à travers la médiation du ménage. Le ménage contribue-il à modérer l'effet des chocs négatifs ? Dans quelle mesure le choc économique pèse-t-il dans la négociation familiale ? À partir de données sur la crise économique argentine de 2001, je montre d'abord que les femmes en couple ont une plus grande probabilité de devenir actives si leur mari a fait l'expérience d'un choc de revenu. Ensuite, je montre que le cycle économique importe dans les décisions d'investissement en capital humain. Sur le long terme, les profils de salaire et d'employabilité des hommes argentins sont affectés de manière persistante par les conditions économiques initiales au moment de l'obtention du diplôme. Enfin, je considère la dimension “man-cession” de la crise économique de 2009 en Espagne et montre que la part des ressources du ménage reçues par les femmes pour leur consommation privée augmente avec la diminution de l'écart des taux de chômage hommes-femmes, confortant l'hypothèse que les chocs négatifs modifient le pouvoir de négociation des individus au sein du ménage. / The consequences of adverse aggregate shocks on households have been repeatedly documented, but far less has been said on the way they are passed over to individuals through the mediation of the household. Does the household contribute in mitigating the effects? Or does the economic shock rather invite itself at the family negociating table? Using the Argentine 2001 economic crisis as a natural experiment, I first show that married women are more likely to enter the labor market if their husband experienced a loss in income, giving credit to the insurance mechanism. Then, I show that the business cycle matters for investments in education, and that long run labor outcomes of Argentine men are persistently affected by the initial conditions upon graduation. Finally, I consider the “Mancession” dimension of the Great Recession in Spain and demonstrate that the resource share accruing to wives for own consumption increases together with the decreasing unemployment gap, which comes in support to the bargaining hypothesis.

The thesis describes and analyses the evolution of the Czech industry since the beginning of the economic transformation in 1990 till today and it forecasts it's likely further development. The chapter one presents a brief description of the Czech industrial sector in the 19th and the 20th centuries. The chapter n. 2 is dedicated to the evolution in 1980s, the last decade before the collapse of the centrally planned economy. The third chapter describes the transformation process in the beginning of the 1990s. It focuses on the privatization, which was the most important constituent of the economic transformation from the perspective of the Czech industry. Chapters n. 4 and 5 focus on the evolution and restructuration of the Czech industry in the 1990s and in the first decade of the new millennium. The biggest attention is paid to the international trade, foreign direct investments, industrial production, industrial workforce and changes of the industrial structure. Chapter n. 6 is devoted to the evolution in the past 1,5 year and it describes the evolution of the Czech industry in the context of the global economic recession. The last part of the thesis outlines the probable evolution of the Czech industry in the future.

The theme of my thesis „Determination of Transfer Prices in OEZ group“ is determination the way of creation transfer prices for business iterrelations between affined companies. Work is focused on theoretic knowledge from areas of transfer prices whose pillar is „The Arm´s Length Principle“. With it relating tax correlation and required production of documentation for transparence for financing organs. Final recommendation are target to how (in the concrete and also generally) above all on problems resulting from current economic situation. Of binding force recommendation touche above all areas cover binding appreciation about correctness of creation transfer prices.