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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

從海耶克假說到動物本能:競爭性實驗市場的徑轉換 / From Hayek Hypothesis to Animal Spirit:The Transition Based On Competitive Experimental Markets

郭振雄, Kuo, Jenn Shyong Unknown Date (has links)
By means of the experimental oral double auction markets, this thesis shows that the Hayek hypothesis might not be valid when uncertainty is introduced into the markets. More precisely , our experimental results evidence that the efficiency loss increases as the degree of uncertainty increases. Furthermore, as our convergence analyses suggests, the flat sup of the efficiency and the flat inf of the P-Q norm in Experiment 1, the experiment without uncertainty, seems to reflect the market behavior characterized by rational expectations or rational learning. On the other hand, the decreasing sup of the efficiency and the increasing inf of the P-Q norm in Experiment 2, the experiment with uncertainty, seems to reflect the market behaviour characterized by bounded rationality or animal spirits. Therefore, a phase transition from rational expectations to animal spirits might be parameterized by the degree of uncertainty. These findings have important implications for the current controversy on bounded rationality in macroeconomics. They also reflect the limitation of using the method of certainty equivalence in treating uncertainty when the market is regarded as parallel distributed processors rather than a central unit processor.

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