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Federated DeepONet for Electricity Demand Forecasting: A Decentralized Privacy-preserving ApproachZilin Xu (11819582) 02 May 2023 (has links)
<p>Electric load forecasting is a critical tool for power system planning and the creation of sustainable energy systems. Precise and reliable load forecasting enables power system operators to make informed decisions regarding power generation and transmission, optimize energy efficiency, and reduce operational costs and extra power generation costs, to further reduce environment-related issues. However, achieving desirable forecasting performance remains challenging due to the irregular, nonstationary, nonlinear, and noisy nature of the observed data under unprecedented events. In recent years, deep learning and other artificial intelligence techniques have emerged as promising approaches for load forecasting. These techniques have the ability to capture complex patterns and relationships in the data and adapt to changing conditions, thereby enhancing forecasting accuracy. As such, the use of deep learning and other artificial intelligence techniques in load forecasting has become an increasingly popular research topic in the field of power systems. </p>
<p>Although deep learning techniques have advanced load forecasting, the field still requires more accurate and efficient models. One promising approach is federated learning, which allows for distributed data analysis without exchanging data among multiple devices or cen- ters. This method is particularly relevant for load forecasting, where each power station’s data is sensitive and must be protected. In this study, a proposed approach utilizing Federated Deeponet for seven different power stations is introduced, which proposes a Federated Deep Operator Networks and a Lagevin Dynamics-based Federated Deep Operator Networks using Stochastic Gradient Langevin Dynamics as the optimizer for training the data daily for one-day and predicting for one-day frequencies by frequencies. The data evaluation methods include mean absolute percentage error and the percentage coverage under confidence interval. The findings demonstrate the potential of federated learning for secure and precise load forecasting, while also highlighting the challenges and opportunities of implementing this approach in real-world scenarios. </p>
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