The modulation of galactic cosmic ray (GCR) Carbon in a north-south asymmetrical heliosphere is studied, using a two-dimensional numerical model that contains a solar wind termination shock (TS), a heliosheath, as well as particle drifts and diffusive shock re-acceleration of GCRs. The asymmetry in the geometry of the heliosphere is incorporated in the model by assuming a significant dependence on heliolatitude of the thickness of the heliosheath. As a result, the model allows comparisons of modulation in the north and south hemispheres during both magnetic polarity cycles of the Sun, and from solar minimum to moderate maximum conditions. When comparing the computed spectra between polar angles of 55o (approximating the Voyager 1 direction) and 125o (approximating the Voyager 2 direction), it is found that at kinetic energies E < 1:0 GeV/nuc the effects of the assumed asymmetry in the geometry of the heliosphere on the modulated spectra are insignificant up to 60 AU from the Sun, but become increasingly more significant with larger radial distances to reach a maximum inside the heliosheath. In contrast, with E > 1:0 GeV/nuc, these effects remained insignificant throughout the heliosphere even very close to the heliopause (HP). However, when the enhancement of both polar and radial perpendicular diffusion coefficients off the equatorial plane is assumed to differ from heliographic pole to pole, reflecting different modulation conditions between the two hemispheres, major differences in the computed intensities between the two Voyager directions are obtained throughout the heliosphere. The model is further improved by incorporating new information about the HP location and the relevant heliopause spectrum for GCR Carbon at E < 200 MeV/nuc based on the recent Voyager 1 observations. When comparing the computed solutions at the Earth with ACE observations taken during different solar modulation conditions, it is found that it is possible for the level of modulation at the Earth, when solar activity changes from moderate maximum conditions to solar minimum conditions, to exceed the total modulation between the HP and the Earth during solar minimum periods. In the outer heliosphere, reasonable compatibility with the corresponding Voyager observations is established when drifts are scaled down to zero in the heliosheath in both polarity cycles. The effects of neglecting drifts in the heliosheath are found to be more significant than neglecting the enhancement of polar perpendicular diffusion. Theoretical expressions for the scattering function required for the reduction of the drift coefficient in modulation studies are illustrated and implemented in the numerical model. It is found that when this scattering function decreases rapidly over the poles, the computed A < 0 spectra are higher than the A > 0 spectra at all energies at Earth primarily because of drifts, which is unexpected from a classical drift modeling point of view. Scenarios of this function with strong decreases over the polar regions seem realistic at and beyond the TS, where the solar wind must have a larger latitudinal dependence. / PhD (Space Physics), North-West University, Potchefstroom Campus, 2015

The modulation of galactic cosmic ray (GCR) Carbon in a north-south asymmetrical heliosphere is studied, using a two-dimensional numerical model that contains a solar wind termination shock (TS), a heliosheath, as well as particle drifts and diffusive shock re-acceleration of GCRs. The asymmetry in the geometry of the heliosphere is incorporated in the model by assuming a significant dependence on heliolatitude of the thickness of the heliosheath. As a result, the model allows comparisons of modulation in the north and south hemispheres during both magnetic polarity cycles of the Sun, and from solar minimum to moderate maximum conditions. When comparing the computed spectra between polar angles of 55o (approximating the Voyager 1 direction) and 125o (approximating the Voyager 2 direction), it is found that at kinetic energies E < 1:0 GeV/nuc the effects of the assumed asymmetry in the geometry of the heliosphere on the modulated spectra are insignificant up to 60 AU from the Sun, but become increasingly more significant with larger radial distances to reach a maximum inside the heliosheath. In contrast, with E > 1:0 GeV/nuc, these effects remained insignificant throughout the heliosphere even very close to the heliopause (HP). However, when the enhancement of both polar and radial perpendicular diffusion coefficients off the equatorial plane is assumed to differ from heliographic pole to pole, reflecting different modulation conditions between the two hemispheres, major differences in the computed intensities between the two Voyager directions are obtained throughout the heliosphere. The model is further improved by incorporating new information about the HP location and the relevant heliopause spectrum for GCR Carbon at E < 200 MeV/nuc based on the recent Voyager 1 observations. When comparing the computed solutions at the Earth with ACE observations taken during different solar modulation conditions, it is found that it is possible for the level of modulation at the Earth, when solar activity changes from moderate maximum conditions to solar minimum conditions, to exceed the total modulation between the HP and the Earth during solar minimum periods. In the outer heliosphere, reasonable compatibility with the corresponding Voyager observations is established when drifts are scaled down to zero in the heliosheath in both polarity cycles. The effects of neglecting drifts in the heliosheath are found to be more significant than neglecting the enhancement of polar perpendicular diffusion. Theoretical expressions for the scattering function required for the reduction of the drift coefficient in modulation studies are illustrated and implemented in the numerical model. It is found that when this scattering function decreases rapidly over the poles, the computed A < 0 spectra are higher than the A > 0 spectra at all energies at Earth primarily because of drifts, which is unexpected from a classical drift modeling point of view. Scenarios of this function with strong decreases over the polar regions seem realistic at and beyond the TS, where the solar wind must have a larger latitudinal dependence. / PhD (Space Physics), North-West University, Potchefstroom Campus, 2015

The time-dependent modulation of galactic cosmic rays in the heliosphere is studied by computing intensities using a two-dimensional, time-dependent modulation model. The compound approach of Ferreira and Potgieter (2004), which describes changes in the cosmic ray transport coefficients over a solar cycle, is improved by introducing recent theoretical advances in the model. Computed intensities are compared with Voyager 1 and 2, IMP 8 and Ulysses proton observations in search of compatibility. It is shown that this approach gives realistic cosmic ray proton intensities on a global scale at Earth and along both Voyager spacecraft trajectories. The results show that cosmic ray modulation, in particular during the present polarity cycle, is not just determined by changes in the drift coefficient but is also dependent on changes in the diffusion coefficients. Furthermore, a comparison of computations to observations along the Voyager 1 and Voyager 2 trajectories illustrates that the heliosphere is asymmetrical. Assuming the latter, E > 70 MeV and 133-242 MeV cosmic ray proton intensities along Voyager 1 and 2 trajectories are predicted from 2012 onwards. It is shown that the computed intensities along Voyager 1 can increase with an almost constant rate since the spacecraft is close to the heliopause. However, the model shows that Voyager 2 is still under the influence of temporal solar activity changes because of the relatively large distance to the heliopause when compared to Voyager 1. Along the Voyager 2 trajectory the intensities should remain generally constant for the next few years and then should start to steadily increase. It is also found that without knowing the exact location of heliopause and transport parameters one cannot conclude anything about local interstellar spectra. The effect of a dynamic inner heliosheath width on cosmic ray modulation is also studied by implementing a time-dependent termination shock position in the model. This does not lead to improved compatibility with spacecraft observations so that a time-dependent termination shock along with a time-dependent heliopause position is required. The variation of the heliopause position over a solar cycle is found to be smaller compared to that of the termination shock. The model predicts the heliopause and termination shock positions along Voyager 1 in 2012 at 119 AU and 88 AU respectively and along Voyager 2 at 100 AU and 84 AU respectively. / Thesis (PhD (Space Physics))--North-West University, Potchefstroom Campus, 2013

The time-dependent modulation of galactic cosmic rays in the heliosphere is studied by computing intensities using a two-dimensional, time-dependent modulation model. The compound approach of Ferreira and Potgieter (2004), which describes changes in the cosmic ray transport coefficients over a solar cycle, is improved by introducing recent theoretical advances in the model. Computed intensities are compared with Voyager 1 and 2, IMP 8 and Ulysses proton observations in search of compatibility. It is shown that this approach gives realistic cosmic ray proton intensities on a global scale at Earth and along both Voyager spacecraft trajectories. The results show that cosmic ray modulation, in particular during the present polarity cycle, is not just determined by changes in the drift coefficient but is also dependent on changes in the diffusion coefficients. Furthermore, a comparison of computations to observations along the Voyager 1 and Voyager 2 trajectories illustrates that the heliosphere is asymmetrical. Assuming the latter, E > 70 MeV and 133-242 MeV cosmic ray proton intensities along Voyager 1 and 2 trajectories are predicted from 2012 onwards. It is shown that the computed intensities along Voyager 1 can increase with an almost constant rate since the spacecraft is close to the heliopause. However, the model shows that Voyager 2 is still under the influence of temporal solar activity changes because of the relatively large distance to the heliopause when compared to Voyager 1. Along the Voyager 2 trajectory the intensities should remain generally constant for the next few years and then should start to steadily increase. It is also found that without knowing the exact location of heliopause and transport parameters one cannot conclude anything about local interstellar spectra. The effect of a dynamic inner heliosheath width on cosmic ray modulation is also studied by implementing a time-dependent termination shock position in the model. This does not lead to improved compatibility with spacecraft observations so that a time-dependent termination shock along with a time-dependent heliopause position is required. The variation of the heliopause position over a solar cycle is found to be smaller compared to that of the termination shock. The model predicts the heliopause and termination shock positions along Voyager 1 in 2012 at 119 AU and 88 AU respectively and along Voyager 2 at 100 AU and 84 AU respectively. / Thesis (PhD (Space Physics))--North-West University, Potchefstroom Campus, 2013

The transport of cosmic rays in the heliosphere is studied by making use of a newly developed modulation model. This model employes stochastic differential equations to numerically solve the relevant transport equation, making use of this approach’s numerical advantages as well as the opportunity to extract additional information regarding cosmic ray transport and the processes responsible for it. The propagation times and energy losses of galactic electrons and protons are calculated for different drift cycles. It is confirmed that protons and electrons lose the same amount of rigidity when they experience the same transport processes. These particles spend more time in the heliosphere, and also lose more energy, in the drift cycle where they drift towards Earth mainly along the heliospheric current sheet. The propagation times of galactic protons from the heliopause to Earth are calculated for increasing heliospheric tilt angles and it is found that current sheet drift becomes less effective with increasing solar activity. Comparing calculated propagation times of Jovian electrons with observations, the transport parameters are constrained to find that 50% of 6 MeV electrons measured at Earth are of Jovian origin. Charge-sign dependent modulation is modelled by simulating the proton to anti-proton ratio at Earth and comparing the results to recent PAMELA observations. A hybrid cosmic ray modulation model is constructed by coupling the numerical modulation model to the heliospheric environment as simulated by a magneto-hydrodynamic model. Using this model, it is shown that cosmic ray modulation persists beyond the heliopause. The level of modulation in this region is found to exhibit solar cycle related changes and, more importantly, is independent of the magnitude of the individual diffusion coefficients, but is rather determined by the ratio of parallel to perpendicular diffusion. / PhD (Space Physics), North-West University, Potchefstroom Campus, 2013

The transport of cosmic rays in the heliosphere is studied by making use of a newly developed modulation model. This model employes stochastic differential equations to numerically solve the relevant transport equation, making use of this approach’s numerical advantages as well as the opportunity to extract additional information regarding cosmic ray transport and the processes responsible for it. The propagation times and energy losses of galactic electrons and protons are calculated for different drift cycles. It is confirmed that protons and electrons lose the same amount of rigidity when they experience the same transport processes. These particles spend more time in the heliosphere, and also lose more energy, in the drift cycle where they drift towards Earth mainly along the heliospheric current sheet. The propagation times of galactic protons from the heliopause to Earth are calculated for increasing heliospheric tilt angles and it is found that current sheet drift becomes less effective with increasing solar activity. Comparing calculated propagation times of Jovian electrons with observations, the transport parameters are constrained to find that 50% of 6 MeV electrons measured at Earth are of Jovian origin. Charge-sign dependent modulation is modelled by simulating the proton to anti-proton ratio at Earth and comparing the results to recent PAMELA observations. A hybrid cosmic ray modulation model is constructed by coupling the numerical modulation model to the heliospheric environment as simulated by a magneto-hydrodynamic model. Using this model, it is shown that cosmic ray modulation persists beyond the heliopause. The level of modulation in this region is found to exhibit solar cycle related changes and, more importantly, is independent of the magnitude of the individual diffusion coefficients, but is rather determined by the ratio of parallel to perpendicular diffusion. / PhD (Space Physics), North-West University, Potchefstroom Campus, 2013