The diploma thesis deals with the development of an ESP (English for specific purpose) course for aviation English. The theoretical part introduces the methodology for ESP course development, the demands on the teacher and other specifics associated with ESP; the practical part focuses on the contents of the course and its evaluation based on the feedback provided by the teacher and the students. In the conclusion the results of the feedback are discussed and the possible solutions suggested.

No description available.

The exchange rate forecasting has been an interesting topic for a long time. Beating the random walk model has been the goal of many researchers, who applied various techniques and used various datasets. We tried to beat it using bayesian model averaging technique, which pools a large amount of models and the final forecast is the average of forecasts of these models. We used quarterly data from 1980 to 2013 and attempted to predict the value of exchange rate return of five currency pairs. The novelty was the fact that none of these currency pairs included U.S. Dollar. The forecasting horizon was one, two, four and eight quarters. In addition to random walk, we also compared our results to historical average return model using several benchmarks, such as root mean squared error, mean absolute error or direction of change statistic. We found out that bayesian model averaging can not generally outperform random walk or historical average return, but in specific setting it can produce forecasts with low error and with high percentage of correctly predicted signs of change.

No description available.

Cílem práce je popsat a modelovat vstup České republiky do eurozóny a jeho dopad na vývoj exportu a importu. Důraz je kladen hlavně na vztah volatility měnového kurzu a zahraničního obchodu. Práce se také zabývá Roseovým efektem a jeho propojením s Evropskou měnovou unií.

This diploma thesis evaluates out-of-sample predictive ability of exchange rate models. The first part of the thesis summarizes existing empirical findings about exchange rate predictability and describes exchange rate models chosen to be evaluated. The second part of the thesis evaluates predictive ability of purchasing power parity, uncovered interest parity, monetary model and Taylor rule model. The exchange rate models are evaluated on CZK/EUR and CZK/USD currency pairs. The analysis is made using quarterly data from 1999 to 2013, while 2009 to 2013 period is reserved for forecast evaluation. The predictive ability of exchange rate models is evaluated in one quarter, one year and three years horizons. The exchange rate models are specified in first differences and estimated by ordinary least squares method. The forecasts are made using rolling regression. The exchange rate models are evaluated using RMSE, Theil's U, CW test and direction of change criterion. The diploma thesis concludes with description of own empirical findings.

This thesis is focused on the description of the purchasing power parity theory and the theory of the interest rate as the fundamental aspects of exchange rate movements. A large part is devoted to the problems of equilibrium exchange rates and associated anomalies that these equilibrium rates are largely affected. The aim is to highlight the pros and cons of these theories and their practical use in nowadays world. Incomplete validity of purchasing power parity is analyzed by using available data which also leads to examine the presence of deviation from the equilibirum value. These anomalies are divided into economic origin anomalies and anomalies arising from non-market intervention. Despite the frequent critism the theory of purchasing power parity is still the most popular and frequently published theory.

The Master's thesis analyses the macroeconomic aspects of the exchange rate policy of the administration of president Hugo Chávez Frías in Venezuela in 2003 - 2010. The author focuses first on the comparison of different exchange rate regimes and their compatibility with the commodity depended economies. A special attention is paid to the concept of Peg to Export Price regime (PEP), also called oil standard, of Jeffrey Frankel and its suitability for contemporary Venezuela. The goal of the thesis is to stress that even though the election of a correct exchange rate regime is of great importance for an exporting economy, the success can be achieved only when combining it with an appropriate monetary and fiscal policy. Without an adequate economic policy the regime alone can not provide stability and moderate high inflation.

The subject of this thesis is to evaluate the main causes of instability in the foreign exchange market in selected countries. The first part is devoted to a summary of the basic theoretical knowledge about the foreign exchange market, its organization and operations of entities intended to hedge against exchange rate risk. The second part focuses on the exchange rate systems. The third chapter focuses on chosen economies, which are included in the final analysis. The main point of the analytical part is focused on the development of turnover on the foreign exchange market in selected countries in terms of the nature of the operations, currency and traded entities. The comparison of the dynamics and structure of the foreign exchange market turnover in selected countries, the system takes into account the applicable exchange rate. Sweden, Denmark, Hungary and Bulgaria were chosen for the analysis, performed during the period 2002 - 2011

This final work is aimed at the concept of relationship between exchange rate and interest rate differential. The introductory part briefly describes exchange rate as a macro-economical parameter, which can be seen in many different systems of exchange rate. Next part consists of theoretical principles of uncovered interest parity and the dynamics of this process and also the process of international Fisher effect. In the analysis part the relation between interest rate and exchange rate is explored in various conditions of exchange rate arrangements in the countries of Denmark, Norway, Sweden and Slovakia. The uncovered interest parity is valued by graphic analysis made by calculation of the theoretical rate based on uncovered interest parity and the off-set index rate. International Fisher effect is tested on the graph of change in exchange rate depending on the interest rate differential. The graphic analysis is followed by the analysis of linear regression. Afterwards with the use of VAR model we find not only the dependence of exchange rate on interest rate differential but also whether the interest rate differential is dependent on exchange rate or not.