Support for the use of progress monitoring results for high-stakes decisions is emerging in the literature, but few studies support the reliability of the measures for this level of decision-making. What little research exists is limited to oral reading fluency measures, and their reliability for progress monitoring (PM) is not supported. This dissertation explored methods rarely applied in the literature for summarizing and analyzing progress monitoring results for medium- to high-stakes decisions. The study was conducted using extant data from 92 "low performing" third graders who were progress monitored using mathematics concept and application measures. The results for the participants in this study identified 1) the number of weeks needed to reliably assess growth on the measure; 2) if slopes differed when results were analyzed with parametric or nonparametric analyses; 3) the reliability of growth; and 4) the extent to which the group did or did not meet parametric assumptions inherent in the ordinary least square regression model. The results indicate reliable growth from static scores can be obtained in as few as 10 weeks of progress monitoring. It was also found that within this dataset, growth through parametric and nonparametric analyses was similar. These findings are limited to the dataset analyzed in this study but provide promising methods not widely known among practitioners and rarely applied in the PM literature.

We consider the application of high-order spectral/hp finite element technology to the numerical solution of boundary-value problems arising in the fields of fluid and solid mechanics. For many problems in these areas, high-order finite element procedures offer many theoretical and practical computational advantages over the low-order finite element technologies that have come to dominate much of the academic research and commercial software of the last several decades. Most notably, we may avoid various forms of locking which, without suitable stabilization, often plague low-order least-squares finite element models of incompressible viscous fluids as well as weak-form Galerkin finite element models of elastic and inelastic structures. The research documented in this dissertation includes applications of spectral/hp finite element technology to an analysis of the roles played by the linearization and minimization operators in least-squares finite element models of nonlinear boundary value problems, a novel least-squares finite element model of the incompressible Navier-Stokes equations with improved local mass conservation, weak-form Galerkin finite element models of viscoelastic beams and a high-order seven parameter continuum shell element for the numerical simulation of the fully geometrically nonlinear mechanical response of isotropic, laminated composite and functionally graded elastic shell structures. In addition, we also present a simple and efficient sparse global finite element coefficient matrix assembly operator that may be readily parallelized for use on shared memory systems. We demonstrate, through the numerical simulation of carefully chosen benchmark problems, that the finite element formulations proposed in this study are efficient, reliable and insensitive to all forms of numerical locking and element geometric distortions.

Designing estimators based on low rank signal models is a common practice in signal processing. Some of these estimators are designed to use a single low rank snapshot vector, while others employ multiple snapshots. This dissertation deals with both these cases in different contexts. Separable nonlinear least squares is a popular tool to extract parameter estimates from a single snapshot vector. Asymptotic statistical properties of the separable non-linear least squares estimates are explored in the first part of the thesis. The assumptions imposed on the noise process and the data model are general. Therefore, the results are useful in a wide range of applications. Sufficient conditions are established for consistency, asymptotic normality and statistical efficiency of the estimates. An expression for the asymptotic covariance matrix is derived and it is shown that the estimates are circular. The analysis is extended also to the constrained separable nonlinear least squares problems. Nonparametric estimation of the material functions from wave propagation experiments is the topic of the second part. This is a typical application where a single snapshot vector is employed. Numerical and statistical properties of the least squares algorithm are explored in this context. Boundary conditions in the experiments are used to achieve superior estimation performance. Subsequently, a subspace based estimation algorithm is proposed. The subspace algorithm is not only computationally efficient, but is also equivalent to the least squares method in accuracy. Estimation of the frequencies of multiple real valued sine waves is the topic in the third part, where multiple snapshots are employed. A new low rank signal model is introduced. Subsequently, an ESPRIT like method named R-Esprit and a weighted subspace fitting approach are developed based on the proposed model. When compared to ESPRIT, R-Esprit is not only computationally more economical but is also equivalent in performance. The weighted subspace fitting approach shows significant improvement in the resolution threshold. It is also robust to additive noise.

Jag använder ett från Världsbanken nyligen utkommet datamaterial över institutionell kvalitet i världens länder för att i en replikeringsstudie undersöka sambandet mellan institutionell utveckling och ekonomisk tillväxt. Modellen har med framgång redan tidigare använts, men i detta arbete är tidsperioden en senare och datamaterialet enligt min bedömning av högre kvalitet. För att kunna göra det senare uttalandet och analysera resultaten på ett uttömmande sätt, innefattar arbetet en översiktlig presentation av institutionella teorier. Eftersom undersökt samband i utgångsläget antas uppvisa dubbelriktad kausalitet, använder jag ett ekonometriskt tillvägagångssätt innehållande instrumentering för att trygga validiteten. Sammantaget visar resultaten en enkelriktad, positiv kausaleffekt från institutionell kvalitet till ekonomisk tillväxt. Det är en bit kvar till en verkligt fruktbar modellkonstruktion, samtidigt som arbetet pekar på att institutioner hör hemma i en sådan.

A linear periodically time-varying (LPTV) system is a linear time-varying system with the coefficients changing periodically, which is widely used in control, communications, signal processing, and even circuit modeling. This thesis concentrates on identification of LPTV systems. To this end, the representations of LPTV systems are thoroughly reviewed. Identification methods are developed accordingly. The usefulness of the proposed identification methods is verified by the simulation results.<p> A periodic input signal is applied to a finite impulse response (FIR)-LPTV system and measure the noise-contaminated output. Using such periodic inputs, we show that we can formulate the problem of identification of LPTV systems in the frequency domain. With the help of the discrete Fourier transform (DFT), the identification method reduces to finding the least-squares (LS) solution of a set of linear equations. A sufficient condition for the identifiability of LPTV systems is given, which can be used to find appropriate inputs for the purpose of identification.<p> In the frequency domain, we show that the input and the output can be related by using the discrete Fourier transform (DFT) and a least-squares method can be used to identify the alias components. A lower bound on the mean square error (MSE) of the estimated alias components is given for FIR-LPTV systems. The optimal training signal achieving this lower MSE bound is designed subsequently. The algorithm is extended to the identification of infinite impulse response (IIR)-LPTV systems as well. Simulation results show the accuracy of the estimation and the efficiency of the optimal training signal design.

Power systems are protected by numerical relays that detect and isolate faults that may occur on power systems. The correct operation of the relay is very important to maintain the security of the power system. <p>Numerical relays that use voltage measurements from the power system provided by coupling capacitor voltage transformers (CCVT) have sometimes difficulty in correctly identifying a fault in the protected area. The fundamental frequency voltage phasor resulting from these CCVT measurements may result in a deviation from the true value and therefore may locate this phasor temporarily in the incorrect operating region. This phasor deviation is due to the CCVT behavior and the CCVT introduces spurious decaying and oscillating transient signal components on top of the original voltage received from the power system in response to sudden voltage changes produced during faults. Most of the existing methods for estimating the voltage phasor do not take advantage of the knowledge of the CCVT behavior that can be obtained from its design parameters.<p>A new least squares error method for phasor estimation is presented in this thesis, which improves the accuracy and speed of convergence of the phasors obtained, using the knowledge of the CCVT behavior. The characteristics of the transient signal components introduced by the CCVT, such as frequencies and time constants of decay, are included in the description of the curve to be fitted, which is required in a least squares fitting technique. Parameters such as window size and sampling rate for optimum results are discussed.<p>The method proposed is evaluated using typical power systems, with results that can be compared to the response if an ideal potential transformer (PT) were used instead of a CCVT. The limitations of this method are found in some specific power system scenarios, where the natural frequencies of the power system are close to that of the CCVT, but with longer time constants. The accuracy with which the CCVT parameters are known is also assessed, with results that show little impact compared to the improvements achievable.

University of Macau / Faculty of Science and Technology / Department of Electromechanical Engineering

Modern power networks are being driven ever closer to both their physical and operational limits. As a result, control systems are being increasingly relied on to assure satisfactory system performance. Power system stabilizers (PSSs) are one example of such controllers. Their purpose is to increase system damping and they are typically designed using a model of the network that is valid during nominal operating conditions. The limitation of this design approach is that during off-nominal operating conditions, such as those triggered by daily load fluctuations, performance of the controller can degrade. The research presented in this report attempts to evaluate the possibility of employing an adaptive PSS as a means of avoiding the performance degradation precipitated by off-nominal operation. Conceptually, an adaptive PSS would be capable of identifying changes in the network and then adjusting its parameters to ensure suitable damping of the identified network. This work begins with a detailed look at the identification algorithm employed followed by a similarly detailed examination of the control algorithm that was used. The results of these two investigations are then combined to allow for a preliminary assessment of the performance that could be expected from an adaptive PSS. The results of this research suggest that an adaptive PSS is a possibility but further work is needed to confirm this finding. Testing using more complex network models must be carried out, details pertaining to control parameter tuning must be resolved and closed-loop time domain simulations using the adaptive PSS design remain to be performed. / May 2007

As wireless devices become more common, the ability to position a wireless device has become a topic of importance. Accurate positioning through technologies such as the Global Positioning System is possible for outdoor environments. Indoor environments pose a different challenge, and research continues to position users indoors. Due to the prevalence of wireless local area networks (WLANs) in many indoor spaces, it is prudent to determine their capabilities for the purposes of positioning. Signal strength and time based positioning systems have been studied for WLANs. Direction or angle of arrival (AOA) based positioning will be possible with multiple antenna arrays, such as those included with upcoming devices based on the IEEE 802.11n standard. The potential performance of such a system is evaluated. The positioning performance of such a system depends on the accuracy of the AOA estimation as well as the positioning algorithm. Two different maximum-likelihood (ML) derived algorithms are used to determine the AOA of the mobile user: a specialized simple ML algorithm, and the space- alternating generalized expectation-maximization (SAGE) channel parameter estimation algorithm. The algorithms are used to determine the error in estimating AOAs through the use of real wireless signals captured in an indoor office environment. The statistics of the AOA error are used in a positioning simulation to predict the positioning performance. A least squares (LS) technique as well as the popular extended Kalman filter (EKF) are used to combine the AOAs to determine position. The position simulation shows that AOA- based positioning using WLANs indoors has the potential to position a wireless user with an accuracy of about 2 m. This is comparable to other positioning systems previously developed for WLANs.

Shooter localization systems are used to detect and locate the origin of gunfire. A wireless sensor network is one possible implementation of such a system. A wireless sensor network is sensitive to synchronization errors. Localization techniques that rely on the timing will give less accurate or even useless results if the synchronization errors are too large. This thesis focuses on the influence of synchronization errors on the abilityto localize a shooter using a wireless sensor network. A localization algorithm is developed and implemented and the effect of synchronization errors is studied. The localization algorithm is evaluated using numerical experiments, simulations, and data from real gunshots collected at field trials. The results indicate that the developed localization algorithm is able to localizea shooter with quite good accuracy. However, the localization performance is to a high degree influenced by the geographical configuration of the network as well as the synchronization error. / Skottlokaliseringssystem används för att upptäcka och lokalisera ursprunget för avlossade skott. Ett trådlöst sensornätverk är ett sätt att utforma ett sådant system.Trådlösa sensornätverk är känsliga för synkroniseringsfel. Lokaliseringsmetoder som bygger på tidsobservationer kommer med för stora synkroniseringsfel ge dåliga eller helt felaktiga resultat. Detta examensarbete fokuserar på vilken inverkan synkroniseringsfel har på möjligheterna att lokalisera en skytt i ett trådlöst sensornätverk. En lokaliseringsalgoritm utvecklas och förmågan att korrekt lokalisera en skytt vid olika synkroniseringsfel undersöks. Lokaliseringsalgoritmen prövas med numeriska experiment, simuleringar och även för data från riktiga skottljud, insamlade vid fältförsök. Resultaten visar att lokaliseringsalgoritmen fungerar tillfredställande, men att lokaliseringsförmågan till stor del påverkas av synkroniseringsfel men även av sensornätverkets geografiska utseende.