by Yan Yuk Fung. / Thesis (M.B.A.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 1996. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 41-42). / ABSTRACT --- p.i / TABLE OF CONTENTS --- p.ii / LIST OF ILLUSTRATIONS --- p.iv / ACKNOWLEDGMENT --- p.v / Chapter / Chapter I. --- INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY --- p.1 / Chapter II. --- BENEFITS AND TYPES OF CONVERTIBILITY --- p.3 / Economic Benefits --- p.3 / Current Account Convertibility --- p.4 / Capital Account Convertibility --- p.5 / Chapter III. --- TRENDS OF BALANCE OF PAYMENTS IN CHINA --- p.7 / Characterics --- p.7 / Trend of Current Account Balance --- p.8 / Trend of Capital Account Balance --- p.9 / Cyclical Nature of Balance of Payments --- p.10 / Chapter IV. --- EVOLUTION OF FOREIGN EXCHANGE REGIME SINCE 1978 --- p.12 / Trade Liberalization --- p.12 / Control on Current Account Transactions --- p.13 / Foreign Exchange Retention System and Swap Centres --- p.14 / Chapter V. --- DEVELOPMENT OF CONVERTIBILITY IN 1994 --- p.16 / Achieved Convertibility on Trade Related Transactions --- p.16 / China's Choice of A Managed Floating Rate Regime --- p.18 / Chapter VI. --- CONDITIONS FOR CONVERTIBILITY --- p.21 / Stable Domestic Price --- p.21 / Favourable Balance of Payment --- p.22 / Sufficient Foreign Reserve --- p.23 / Exchange Rate Stability --- p.24 / Liberalization Measures on Service Transactions Implemented in 1996 --- p.24 / Chapter VII. --- RISKS OF CONVERTIBILITY --- p.26 / Peso Depreciation in Mexico --- p.26 / Export Slowing Down in China --- p.27 / Cumulative Inflation --- p.28 / Budget Deficit --- p.29 / Risk of Import Surging with China Entering WTO --- p.30 / Foreign Direct Investment Slowing Down --- p.30 / Political Risks within China and Across the Formosa Strait --- p.31 / Chapter VIII. --- POLICY PRESCRIPTIONS --- p.33 / Maintain Balance of Payments --- p.33 / Fiscal & Monetary Discipline --- p.34 / Improve Efficiency of Foreign Exchange Market --- p.35 / Strengthen Economic and Financial Reforms --- p.35 / Avoid Premature Capital Account Convertibility --- p.36 / Chapter IX. --- CONCLUSION --- p.38 / RMB Full Current Account Convertibility Achievable Before 2000 --- p.38 / Business Implications --- p.39 / BIBLIOGRAPHY --- p.41

Ye, Guofeng. / "September 2010." / Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2010. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 33-34). / Abstracts in English and Chinese. / ABSTRACT --- p.1 / 摘要 --- p.2 / Chapter 1 --- INTRODUCTION --- p.5 / Chapter 2 --- LITERATURE REVIEW ON MONETARY TRANSMISSION MECHANISM …… --- p.8 / Chapter 3 --- THE EFFECT OF SHORT-TERM INTEREST RATE ON THE ECONOMY …… --- p.13 / Chapter 4 --- METHODOLOGY --- p.16 / Chapter 4.1 --- The Structural Vector Autoregressive Model --- p.16 / Chapter 4.2 --- The Error Correction Model --- p.18 / Chapter 4.3 --- The Alternative Model --- p.19 / Chapter 5 --- DATA --- p.20 / Chapter 5.1 --- Data Description --- p.20 / Chapter 5.2 --- Data Source --- p.20 / Chapter 6 --- EMPIRICAL RESULTS --- p.21 / Chapter 6.1 --- The Structural Vector Autoregressive Model --- p.21 / Chapter 6.2 --- The Error Correction Model --- p.28 / Chapter 6.3 --- The Alternative Model --- p.30 / REFERENCES --- p.33 / APPENDIX --- p.35 / Table 1 --- p.35 / Table 2 (SVAR: 1-3 years) --- p.36 / Table 3 (SVAR: 3-5 years) --- p.37 / Table 4 (SVAR: 5-7 years) --- p.38 / Table 5 --- p.39 / Table 6 (Error Correction Model: 1-3 years) --- p.40 / Table 7 (Error Correction Model: 3-5 years) --- p.41 / Table 8 (Error Correction Model: 5-7 years) --- p.42 / Table 9 --- p.43 / Table 10 (Money Supply: M0) --- p.44 / Table 11 (Money Supply: M 1) --- p.46 / Table 12 (Money Supply: M2) --- p.48

Wu, Zhouheng. / Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2009. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 44-46). / Abstract also in Chinese. / Chapter 1. --- Introduction --- p.1 / Chapter 2. --- Literature Review --- p.3 / Chapter 3. --- Overview of Key Factors that affect inflation in China --- p.6 / Chapter 3.1 --- Output Growth --- p.6 / Chapter 3.2 --- Money Supply --- p.7 / Chapter 3.3 --- Exchange Rate --- p.7 / Chapter 3.4 --- Wage --- p.8 / Chapter 3.5 --- Other Exogenous Shocks --- p.10 / Chapter 4. --- The Model --- p.11 / Chapter 4.1 --- Households --- p.12 / Chapter 4.2 --- Production Firms --- p.16 / Chapter 4.2.1 --- Non-Traded Sector --- p.16 / Chapter 4.2.2 --- Traded Sector --- p.19 / Chapter 4.3 --- Import Prices --- p.20 / Chapter 4.4 --- Monetary Policy Rules --- p.21 / Chapter 4.5 --- Domestic and External Shocks --- p.23 / Chapter 4.6 --- Market Clearing Conditions --- p.24 / Chapter 5. --- Calibration --- p.26 / Chapter 5.1 --- Calibration of parameter values --- p.26 / Chapter 5.2 --- Theoretical Impulse Responses and Variance Decomposition --- p.28 / Chapter 6. --- Model Fitness --- p.33 / Chapter 7. --- Conclusion Remarks --- p.35 / References --- p.38 / Appendix / Appendix A Equilibrium Conditions --- p.41 / Appendix B Steady State --- p.43 / Appendix C Simulation --- p.45 / Appendix D Data Description and Empirical Results --- p.56

University of Macau / Faculty of Business Administration / Department of Finance and Business Economics

published_or_final_version / Economics / Master / Master of Social Sciences

published_or_final_version / Economics / Master / Master of Social Sciences

published_or_final_version / Economics / Master / Master of Social Sciences

by Li Hin Keung, Frankie [and] Cheuk Chun Wai, Simon. / Bibliography : leaves 84-85 / Thesis (M.B.A.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 1984

Peng, Handa. / "August 2011." / Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2011. / Includes bibliographical references (p. 81-83). / Abstracts in English and Chinese. / Abstract --- p.1 / 摘要 --- p.2 / Acknowledgements --- p.3 / Introduction --- p.6 / Chapter Section I --- Literature Review --- p.11 / Theories on Sovereign Default --- p.11 / Historical Case Studies on Sovereign Default --- p.15 / Brief Summary on the Existing Theories and Empirical Cases --- p.16 / Chapter Section II --- Historical Backgrounds --- p.21 / Political Instability and Military Expenditures --- p.21 / Fiscal Status during the rule of the Nanking Government --- p.22 / Silver Standard and Currency Reform in 1935 --- p.26 / Chapter Section III --- Sovereign Default and Restructuring Episodes of the Nanking Government --- p.29 / Data --- p.29 / Sovereign Debt as a Heritage --- p.30 / Background Information of the Debts --- p.34 / The Restructuring Episode --- p.37 / Market Reactions --- p.42 / Chapter Section IV --- Capital Market Access and Reputational Theories in the Restructuring Episode --- p.45 / Access to the International Capital Market --- p.45 / Relevance of the Traditional Reputational Model --- p.48 / Signaling Model and Role of Reputation --- p.51 / Chapter Section V --- Role of Sanctions in the Restructuring Episode --- p.57 / Analytical Framework of the Sanctions Model --- p.57 / Three Possible Channels of Direct Sanctions --- p.60 / Chapter Section VI --- Informational Explanation of the Restructuring Episode --- p.64 / A Practical Analytical Framework for the Informational Model --- p.64 / Issue of Credibility and Currency Reform --- p.66 / The Need for the Settlement of Old Debts --- p.68 / Outcomes --- p.73 / Summary --- p.77 / Conclusion --- p.79 / References --- p.81 / Chapter Appendix I --- Basic information on Chinese sovereign bonds traded in the London Stock Exchange --- p.84 / Chapter Appendix II --- Price of Chinese Sovereign Bonds traded in the London Stock Exchange --- p.86 / Chapter Appendix III --- Price level change around the settlement of two Tienstin-Pukow loans --- p.93 / Chapter Appendix IV --- "Price levels and yield to maturities of the Chinese sovereign bonds on November 1，1935 and June 25, 1937" --- p.94 / Chapter Table I --- Classification of Literatures on Cost of Sovereign Defaults --- p.17 / Chapter Graph I --- Fiscal Status of China in the Nanking Decade --- p.22 / Chapter Graph II --- Breakdown of Revenue --- p.23 / Chapter Graph III --- Breakdown of Expenditures --- p.24 / Chapter Graph IV --- Financing Methods of Government Deficit --- p.25 / Chapter Graph V --- Time Distribution of Borrowing and Defaulting of Old Debts --- p.32 / Chapter Table II --- Purpose of the Old Debts --- p.35 / Chapter Table III --- Lending Countries of the Old Debts --- p.35 / Chapter Table IV --- Collateral of the Old Debts --- p.36 / Chapter Table V --- Currency Denomination of the Old Debs --- p.37 / Chapter Graph VI --- Restructuring Time Distributions --- p.39 / Chapter Graph VII --- Time distribution of new debts obtained during the Nanjing government --- p.46 / Chapter Graph VIII --- Exports and Imports of China in 1921-1937 --- p.61 / Chapter Graph IX --- "Wholesale Price Index in Shanghai, 1929-1937" --- p.74 / Chapter Graph X --- Monthly Exchange Rate of Chinese Currency to U.S. Dollar (Indirect Quotation) --- p.74 / Chapter Graph XI --- "Net Domestic Capital Formation in China, 1931-1936" --- p.76 / Chapter Graph XII --- "Industrial Product and Its Growth Rate in China, 1928-1936" --- p.76

by Liu Shiang Ling. / Thesis (M.B.A.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 1997. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 48). / ABSTRACT --- p.ii / TABLE OF CONTENTS --- p.iii / LIST OF TABLES --- p.v / CHAPTER / Chapter I. --- INTRODUCTION --- p.1 / Chapter II. --- CHINA'S RENMINBI SYSTEM --- p.3 / Overview and Historical Development --- p.3 / 1953-1972 --- p.3 / 1973-1978 --- p.4 / 1979-1993 --- p.4 / 1994-1996 --- p.6 / The Exchange Rate Determination --- p.7 / Demand & Supply --- p.7 / The Balance of Payments --- p.8 / Inflation --- p.10 / Interest Rate --- p.10 / The Condition of Economic Development --- p.11 / Expectation --- p.11 / The Fiscal Policy --- p.12 / Forecasting Exchange Rate --- p.12 / Fundamental Analysis --- p.14 / Chapter III. --- CHINA'S PROPERTY MARKET --- p.15 / The History of China's Property Market --- p.15 / Pre-1949 --- p.15 / 1949-1979 --- p.15 / 1979-1991 --- p.16 / 1992-1996 --- p.18 / China's Real Estate Market Overview --- p.20 / Shanghai's Property Market --- p.21 / Risk Analysis --- p.22 / Return --- p.22 / Risks --- p.23 / Chapter IV. --- THEORETICAL ANALYSIS --- p.25 / Currency Conversion and Exchange Rate Risks --- p.25 / Hypothesis --- p.26 / The Short Run --- p.26 / The Long Run --- p.27 / Chapter V. --- RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND FINDINGS --- p.29 / Targets of Study --- p.29 / Questionnaire --- p.29 / Chapter VI. --- ANALYSIS AND CONCLUSIONS --- p.30 / Primary Source Data --- p.30 / Secondary Source Data --- p.32 / Analysis --- p.34 / The Short Run --- p.34 / The Long Run --- p.35 / Political Conditions --- p.35 / Economic Conditions --- p.36 / Social Conditions --- p.37 / Market Conditions --- p.37 / Land Investment --- p.38 / Conclusion --- p.39 / Chapter VII. --- RECOMMENDATIONS AND ADVICE TO DEVELOPERS --- p.40 / The Depreciation of Renminbi --- p.40 / The Appreciation of Renminbi --- p.41 / The Chinese Government Policy --- p.42 / Long-Term Consideration --- p.43 / APPENDIX --- p.45