Forest fires cause a significant amount of damage and destruction each year. Optimally dispatching resources reduces the amount of damage a forest fire can cause. Models predict the fire spread to provide the data required to optimally dispatch resources. However, the models are only as accurate as the data used to build them. Satellites are one valuable tool in the collection of data for the forest fire models. Satellites provide data on the types of vegetation, the wind speed and direction, the soil moisture content, etc. The current operating paradigm is to passively collect data when possible. However, images from directly overhead provide better resolution and are easier to process. Maneuvering a constellation of satellites to fly directly over the forest fire provides higher quality data than is achieved with the current operating paradigm. Before launch, the location of the forest fire is unknown. Therefore, it is impossible to optimize the initial orbits for the satellites. Instead, the expected cost of maneuvering to observe the forest fire determines the optimal initial orbits. A two-stage stochastic programming approach is well suited for this class of problem where initial decisions are made with an uncertain future and then subsequent decisions are made once a scenario is realized. A repeat ground track orbit provides a non-maneuvering, natural solution providing a daily flyover of the forest fire. However, additional maneuvers provide a second daily flyover of the forest fire. The additional maneuvering comes at a significant cost in terms of additional fuel, but provides more data collection opportunities. After data are collected, ground stations receive the data for processing. Optimally selecting the ground station locations reduce the number of built ground stations and reduces the data fusion issues. However, the location of the forest fire alters the optimal ground station sites. A two-stage stochastic programming approach optimizes the selection of ground stations to maximize the expected amount of data downloaded from a satellite. The approaches of selecting initial orbits and ground station locations including uncertainty will provide a robust system to reduce the amount of damage caused by forest fires.

Submitted by Josué Cardoso dos Santos (josuesantosunesp@gmail.com) on 2018-09-10T18:36:37Z No. of bitstreams: 1 Tese_Final_Josue_Cardoso_Santos.pdf: 78449557 bytes, checksum: 4515b9cb7cc346753f7e9682b8e037de (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Pamella Benevides Gonçalves null (pamella@feg.unesp.br) on 2018-09-10T18:47:05Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 santos_jc_dr_guara.pdf: 78449557 bytes, checksum: 4515b9cb7cc346753f7e9682b8e037de (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2018-09-10T18:47:05Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 santos_jc_dr_guara.pdf: 78449557 bytes, checksum: 4515b9cb7cc346753f7e9682b8e037de (MD5) Previous issue date: 2018-07-04 / Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP) / Nowadays, despite the technological development experienced by science in general, a fact especially evident by the available powerful computer machines, the analytical and semi-analytical methods to study different space problems are still of great importance in the fields of astrodynamics and celestial mechanics. From the physical understanding of the motion of celestial bodies to the planing and designing of space missions, the use of mathematical models to deal with a very large number of contemporary problems plays a fundamental role in the progress of human knowledge. In this context, the present thesis presents the use of different mathematical techniques to deal with different various and current problems in astrodynamics and celestial mechanics. The studies developed throughout this work are applicable to both areas. The topics studied are the following ones: (1) The development of disturbing potentials using the double-averaging process, in order to be included in the Lagrange planetary which are numerically integrated to study features of orbits around Mercury and the Galilean moon Callisto; (2) The use of different perturbation integrals, techniques to identify and map different perturbations present in a planetary system, with focus on the analysis of systems of Giant planets with their massive moons; (3) The use of the concept of intermediary Hamiltonian and the use of a canonical transformation called elimination of the parallax, both to deal with binary systems in the context of the roto-orbital dynamics, this one as an approach of the fulltwo body problem; (4) An updated analysis of Gauss variational equations to study quasisatellite orbits around the Martian moon Phobos and with analytical predictions made after obtaining linear and averaged equations of motions. Therefore, this thesis intend not only to provide important analysis and results for each specific problem which it deals with along its pages, but also seeks to highlighting the merit and current relevance of different analytical and semi-analytical methods to be used in the fields of astrodynamics and celestial mechanics. Additionally, the author also hopes to offer an outcome of diverse interesting ideas and methods to be explored in future investigations in these research fields / Na atualidade, a despeito do desenvolvimento tecnológico experimentado pela ciência em geral, algo especialmente evidenciado por poderosas máquinas computacionais disponíveis, os métodos analíticos e semianalíticos para o estudo de diferentes problemas espaciais ainda são de grande importância nos campos de astrodinâmica e mecânica celeste. Desde a compreensão física do movimento de corpos celestes até ao planejamento e projeto de missões espaciais, o uso de modelos matemáticos para lidar com um grande número de problemas contemporâneos desempenha um papel fundamental no progresso do conhecimento humano. Neste contexto, a presente tese apresenta o uso de diferentes técnicas matemáticas para lidar com diversos e atuais problemas em astrodinâmica e mecânica celeste. Os estudos desenvolvidos ao longo deste trabalho são aplicáveis à ambas as áreas. Os tópicos estudados são os seguintes: (1) O desenvolvimento de potenciais perturbadores usando o processo de dupla média, de forma a serem incluídos nas equações planetárias de Lagrange que são integradas numericamente para estudar características de órbitas ao redor de Mercúrio e da lua galileana Calisto; (2) A utilização de diferentes integrais de perturbação, técnicas para identificar e mapear diferentes perturbações presentes em um sistema planetário, com foco na análise de sistemas de planetas gigantes com suas luas massivas; (3) A utilização do conceito de hamiltoniana intermediária e o uso de uma transformação canônica chamada eliminação da paralaxe, ambos para lidar com sistemas binários no contexto da dinâmica roto-orbital, essa sendo uma aproximação do problema completo de dois corpos; (3) Uma análise atualizada de equações variacionais de Gauss para o estudo de órbitas quasi-satélite ao redor da lua marciana Fobos e com predições analíticas realizadas após serem obtidas equações de movimento linearizadas e com média. Portanto, esta tese pretende não somente prover importantes análises e resultados para cada problema específico com os quais a mesma lida ao longo de suas páginas, mas também procura destacar o mérito e relevância atual de diferentes métodos analíticos e semianalíticos a serem utilizados nos campos de astrodinâmica e mecânica celeste. Adicionalmente, o autor também espera oferecer um produto de variadas ideias e métodos a serem explorados em futuras investigações nesses campos de pesquisa / 2013/26652-4 / 2015/18881-9