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Lending Sociodynamics and Drivers of the Financial Business CycleJ. Hawkins, Raymond, Kuang, Hengyu January 2017 (has links)
We extend sociodynamic modeling of the financial business cycle to the Euro Area and Japan. Using an opinion-formation model and machine learning techniques we find stable model estimation of the financial business cycle using central bank lending surveys and a few selected macroeconomic variables. We find that banks have asymmetric response to good and bad economic information, and that banks adapt to their peers' opinions when changing lending policies.
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