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Population modeling in conservation planning of the Lower Keys marsh rabbitLaFever, David Howard 30 October 2006 (has links)
Rapid development and urbanization of the Lower Florida Keys in the last 30
years has fragmented the habitat of the Lower Keys marsh rabbit (Sylvilagus palustris
hefneri) and threatened it with extinction. Current threats exist at multiple
spatiotemporal scales and include threats due to development, invasive species, and
global climate change. On Boca Chica Key, the Lower Keys marsh rabbit (LKMR)
exists as a metapopulation on Naval Air Station-Key West (NASKW). I conducted a
population viability analysis to determine the metapopulation's risk of extinction under
multiple management scenarios by developing a spatially-explicit, stage-structured,
stochastic matrix model using the programs RAMAS Metapop and ArcGIS. These
management scenarios include clearance of airfield vegetation, habitat conversion, and
control of feral cats as an invasive species. Model results provided the Navy with
relative risk estimates under these different scenarios. Airfield clearance with habitat
conversion increased extinction risk, but when coupled with feral cat control, risk was
decreased.
Because of the potential of sea-level rise due to human-induced global climate
change, and its projected impact on the biodiversity of the Florida Keys, I estimated the impacts of rising sea levels on LKMR across its geographic distribution under scenarios
of no, low (0.3m), medium (0.6m), and high (0.9m) sea-level rise. I also investigated
impacts due to 2 treatments (allowing vegetation to migrate upslope and not allowing
migration), and 2 land-use planning decisions (protection and abandonment of humandominated
areas). Not surprisingly, under both treatments and both land-use planning
decisions, I found a general trend of decreasing total potential LKMR habitat with
increasing sea-level rise. Not allowing migration and protecting human-dominated areas
both tended to decrease potential LKMR habitat as compared with allowing migration
and abandoning human-dominated areas. In conclusion, conservation strategies at
multiple scales need to be implemented in order to reduce threats to LKMR, such as
development, invasive species, and global climate change.
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Estimating Diet And Food Selectivity Of The Lower Keys Marsh Rabbit Using Stable Isotope AnalysisGordon, Matthew James 01 January 2010 (has links)
Understanding the effect of food abundance on feeding behavior can benefit conservation efforts in many ways, such as to determine whether impacted environments need food supplementation, whether different locations of threatened species contain different food abundances, or whether reintroduction sites are missing key components of a species’ diet. I studied the relationship between feeding behavior and food abundance in the Lower Keys marsh rabbit (Sylvilagus palustris hefneri), an endangered subspecies endemic to the lower Florida Keys. Specifically, my study set out to measure the relative abundance of the primary plants within the natural habitat of the Lower Keys marsh rabbit and estimate the proportion of each of these plants within the rabbit’s diet. With this information, I tested the following hypotheses: first, the Lower Keys marsh rabbit selectively feeds on specific plants; second, that diet does not differ among sites; and third, that diet is not affected by food abundance. Using stable isotope analysis, I determined that two plants were prominent in the rabbit’s diet: a shrub, Borrichia frutescens, and a grass, Spartina spartinae. These two species were prominent in the rabbit’s diet in most patches, even where they were relatively rare, suggesting the rabbits are indeed selectively feeding on these species. In addition, although diet did differ among patches, selective feeding was apparent in all cases. Overall, this study determined that certain food types are important food sources for the federally endangered Lower Keys marsh rabbit and that these rabbits do not feed on plants based on plant abundance. This knowledge can be directly applied to reintroduction and restoration efforts for the Lower Keys marsh rabbit. More generally, the methods used in this study can be applied to other species of concern in order to address questions associated with diet requirements and foraging behavior.
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Population Status and Evaluation of Landscape Change for the Lower Keys Marsh RabbitSchmidt, Jason Alan 2009 December 1900 (has links)
Wildlife biologists and land managers tasked with the recovery of the endangered Lower Keys
marsh rabbit (LKMR; Sylvilagus palustris hefneri) were in need of a current population estimate as well as
a method to estimate the LKMR population annually. Habitat loss and fragmentation from population
growth and development have threatened the existence of the LKMR. Establishing and understanding
long-term habitat availability for the LKMR is important for determining causes of historical population
declines as well as designing and implementing successful recovery plans.
I conducted a range-wide pellet survey and a mark-recapture study to estimate the LKMR
population. I evaluated the fit of 5 models and considered the variation in behavioral response model the
best model. I correlated (r2 = 0.913) this model's rabbit abundance estimates to pellet density in 11
patches and generated a range-wide population estimate of 317, a western clade population of 257, an
eastern clade population of 25, and translocated LKMR populations of 35 and 0 on Little Pine and Water
keys, respectively. This prediction equation provides managers a quick, efficient, and non-invasive
method to estimate LKMR abundance from pellet counts.
To quantify the amount of habitat loss and fragmentation that occurred over the last 50 years, I
systematically delineated and compared potential LKMR habitat using 1959 and 2006 aerial photographs.
Additionally, I investigated if other factors could have reduced the amount of suitable habitat available for
the LKMR with a comparison of habitat loss and fragmentation on a developed island and an undeveloped
island. Range-wide, I found that number of habitat patches increased by 38, total class area decreased by
49.0%, and mean patch size decreased by 44.3%. Mean shape index increased by 4.2% and mean
proximity index decreased by 13%. Both the 1959 and 2006 connectance indices were low while the 2006
set decreased 12.1%. I observed the same patterns of habitat loss and fragmentation on both the developed
and undeveloped islands as I did in the range-wide landscape analysis. I found that LKMR habitat has
declined in area and become more fragmented over the last 50 years. Habitat loss and fragmentation by
development have directly endangered the LKMR; however, sea level rise and woody encroachment also could have historically caused habitat loss and fragmentation. Although development in LKMR habitat
was halted, sea-level rise and woody encroachment could continue to alter LKMR habitat.
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