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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

The von Neumann/Morgenstern approach to ambiguity

Dumav, Martin 27 February 2012 (has links)
An outcome is ambiguous if it is an incomplete description of the probability distribution over consequences. An `incomplete description' is identified with the set of probabilities that satisfy the incomplete description. A choice problem is uncertain if the decision maker is choosing between distributions, and is ambiguous if the decision maker is choosing between sets of probabilities. The von Neumann/Morgenstern approach to uncertain choice problems uses a continuous linear function on probabilities. This paper develops the theory of ambiguous choice problems as a continuous, linear functions on closed convex sets of probabilities. This delivers: a framework encompassing most of the extant ambiguity averse preferences; a complete separation of attitudes towards risk and attitudes toward ambiguity; and generalizations of rst and second order stochastic dominance rankings to ambiguous decision problem. Quasi-concave preferences on sets that satisfy a restricted betweenness property capture variational preferences. / text

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