Includes abstract. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 122-124). / The relational Gompertz model is often used to obtain fertility estimates for sub-Saharan Africa populations. This indirect estimation technique is dependent on a fertility standard - the Booth standard. This standard was developed in 1979 using a selection of 33 Coale-Trussell schedules congruent with high fertility patterns. However, evidence from 61 Demographic and Health Surveys of sub-Saharan countries shows that fertility has decreased to levels that were considered medium fertility at the time the standard was developed. This raises concerns about the continued relevance of the (high fertility) Booth standard. In particular, the standard would appear to consistently underestimate fertility among African women aged 45-49.
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:netd.ac.za/oai:union.ndltd.org:uct/oai:localhost:11427/5887 |
| Date | January 2009 |
| Creators | Van Gijsen, Rienier |
| Contributors | Moultrie, Tom |
| Publisher | University of Cape Town, Faculty of Commerce, Centre for Actuarial Research (CARE) |
| Source Sets | South African National ETD Portal |
| Language | English |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | Master Thesis, Masters, MPhil |
| Format | application/pdf |
Page generated in 0.0097 seconds