The main purpose of this study is to empirically assess the relationship between inflation
and economic growth in Ethiopia using quarterly dataset from 1992Q1 to 2010Q4. In
doing so, an interesting policy issue arises. What is the threshold level of inflation for the
Ethiopian economy? Based on the Engle-Granger and Johansen co-integration tests it is
found out that there is a positive long-run relationship between inflation and economic
growth. The error correction models show that in cases of short-run disequilibrium, the
inflation model adjusts itself to its long-run path correcting roughly 40% of the
imbalance in each quarter. In addition, based on the conditional least square technique,
the estimated threshold model suggests 10% as the optimal level of inflation that
facilitates growth. An inflation level higher or lower than the threshold level of inflation
affects the economic growth negatively and hence fiscal and monetary policy
coordination is vital to keep inflation at the threshold. / Economics / M. Com. (Economics)
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:netd.ac.za/oai:union.ndltd.org:unisa/oai:umkn-dsp01.int.unisa.ac.za:10500/13633 |
| Date | 14 July 2014 |
| Creators | Abis Getachew Makuria |
| Contributors | Nhamo, Senia |
| Source Sets | South African National ETD Portal |
| Language | English |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | Dissertation |
| Format | 1 online resource (viii, 156 pages) : ill. |
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