The interactions between predators and prey are a fundamental component of ecology and have direct relevance to the management and conservation of ecosystems around the World. Advances in global positioning system (GPS) collar technology have enabled researchers to gain insight into predator behavior, identify predation events in the field, and also build predictive predation models. Using GPS data from 26 collared cougars across three study areas, I investigated: 1) the mechanisms driving individual specialization in cougars and, 2) the utility of cluster models to predict predation events within and across study systems. In addressing the former, I used a subset of data from only a single study area including 13 cougars. I identified one specialist individual (P06) as having a unique diet relative to the population resulting from the continued selection of beaver (Castor canadensis). P06 actively hunted beaver by selecting for streams and creeks within his home range disproportionality to their availability and also traveled significantly slower while within beaver habitat indicative of the slow, stalk and ambush cougar hunting strategy. When predation by specialist cougars targets sensitive or rare species, targeted (rather than broad) management actions will be more effective in reducing unwanted predation on sensitive species.
To address the utility of predictive models, I used logistic regression to discriminate between kill and no-kill GPS clusters and modeled the binary response as function of multiple spatiotemporal variables. I generated within study area estimates of predation using a top model selected from a candidate set using an information criterion (AIC), and estimated predation across study areas using simple models with only temporal variables. Within study area estimates of predation were ≥91% accurate, while across study area estimates averaged 81% (SD = 6%) accuracy. Cluster models serve as a valuable tool to estimate general predation within and across study areas, although there are a number of instances when their use is not recommended. When prey species of interest rare or endangered, occur near human activity, are relatively small, or have range overlaps with other similarly sized cougar prey, rigorous field efforts will be required to produce accurate estimates of predation.
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:MONTANA/oai:etd.lib.umt.edu:etd-05122014-150936 |
| Date | 03 June 2014 |
| Creators | Lowrey, Blake |
| Contributors | Dr. Len Broberg, Dr. L. Mark Elbroch, Dr. L. Scott Mills, Dr. Bob Crabtree |
| Publisher | The University of Montana |
| Source Sets | University of Montana Missoula |
| Language | English |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | text |
| Format | application/pdf |
| Source | http://etd.lib.umt.edu/theses/available/etd-05122014-150936/ |
| Rights | restricted, I hereby certify that, if appropriate, I have obtained and attached hereto a written permission statement from the owner(s) of each third party copyrighted matter to be included in my thesis, dissertation, or project report, allowing distribution as specified below. I certify that the version I submitted is the same as that approved by my advisory committee. I hereby grant to University of Montana or its agents the non-exclusive license to archive and make accessible, under the conditions specified below, my thesis, dissertation, or project report in whole or in part in all forms of media, now or hereafter known. I retain all other ownership rights to the copyright of the thesis, dissertation or project report. I also retain the right to use in future works (such as articles or books) all or part of this thesis, dissertation, or project report. |
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