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Analyze the Taiwanese region crime rate function with the cointegration

Economy is an very important factor to the cause of crimes. The unemployment rate play a key role to the economy side of a society. Besides, the probability of being arrested is also been calculated by the offenders. So this paper tries to use the crime rate ,clearance rate , unemployment rate , as variables to discuss their relations. This paper selects 138 data samples from January, 1995 to June, 2006, analyze them by Literature Survey Method¡BUnit Root Test Method¡BJohansen of Maximum Likelihood Estimation Method. The result shows that constantly descend in the other conditions, when the unemployment rate increases by 1%, causing the crime rate to increase by 3.38%, namely the unemployment rate increases the function for the crime rate. When the clearance rate increase by 1%, the crime rate will be reduced by 0.67%, meaning that then clearance rate can reduce the function of the crime rate.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:NSYSU/oai:NSYSU:etd-0202107-202423
Date02 February 2007
CreatorsLin, Kun-feng
ContributorsChing-nun Lee, NONE, Shan-non Chin
PublisherNSYSU
Source SetsNSYSU Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Archive
LanguageCholon
Detected LanguageEnglish
Typetext
Formatapplication/pdf
Sourcehttp://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0202107-202423
Rightsnot_available, Copyright information available at source archive

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