目前我國地價制度，主要係依地價調查估計規則規定，查估公告土地現值及公告地價。價格評估主要採區段地價方式，可能造成忽略土地個別因素影響，造成評估價格明顯遠離市價。近年來我國推行地價基準地制度，期透過引進不動產估價技術規則之規範，以個別估價方式評估基準地價格，以真實反映價格與市場波動情形。然基準地評價屬一序列式之估價方式，其評估過程是否為獨立且客觀仍須進一步加以驗證。本文依循Quan-Quigley部分調整模型之理念，對高雄市地價基準地之重估價案例進行研究，透過迴歸分析分別衡量估值與當期市場價格、前期估值之關係，推估地價人員之信心水準，並進一步分析地價基準地制度是否能確實反映市場價值波動情形。研究結果顯示估價人員存在價格部分調整策略，信心水準值偏低，存在嚴重依賴前期估值之行為，隱含地價基準地評價存在估價平滑之現象。 / Previous studies defined appraisal smoothing as reduced volatility or the lag structure of appraisal-based index as compared to transaction-based index. Most of these studies examined by aggregate level and used extensive data sets to de-smooth the appraisal-based index. This paper aims to observe smoothing behavior amongst appraisers in Taiwan. It uses re-appraisal data of the land value benchmark in Kaohsiung city and modifies the partial adjustment model, developed by Quan and Quigley. Use the concept of regression analysis to measure the ratio between the current appraisal, current market value and the pre-appraisal. By establish the confidence value, we may observe the behavior of appraisers and public assessors, and distinguish if the behavior is rational or not.
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:CHENGCHI/G0099257015 |
| Creators | 陳威霖, Chen, Wei Lin |
| Publisher | 國立政治大學 |
| Source Sets | National Chengchi University Libraries |
| Language | 中文 |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | text |
| Rights | Copyright © nccu library on behalf of the copyright holders |
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