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How do investors respond to share buyback programs? Evidence from Brazil during 2008 crisis

Submitted by Gabriel Micheloud (gmicheloud@hotmail.com) on 2013-06-06T22:38:22Z
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Previous issue date: 2013-05-10 / This paper provides empirical evidence of how effective share repurchase programs were as instruments to signal low prices during 2008 crisis in Brazil. Although we found that stock prices did not respond to buyback programs in the period 2006 to 2012 (1.65% cumulative abnormal returns after 5 days), the average stock price reaction in 2008 (2.93%) is higher and different with statistical significance. Furthermore, we found that the share price reaction from companies with market capitalization below R$10 billion is higher than the one from larger companies. In addition, we found that the response to the buyback programs is positively correlated (i) to the company’s purchasing activity after the announcement, (ii) to the maximum amount of shares announced which can be bought and (iii) to the quantity actually bought during the program. This research is unique in providing empirical evidence on the Brazilian case by analyzing 377 programs announced during that period. The research also confirms that the stock reaction is not influenced by the company's purchasing activity in prior announcements. / Este artigo avalia empiricamente a eficácia dos programas de recompra de ações como instrumento de sinalização de preços baixos durante a crise de 2008 no Brasil com base em 377 programas de recompra. Os resultados não confirmam que o instrumento sinaliza conforme evidenciado pela reação dos preços das ações período entre 2006 e 2012 (1,65% de retornos anormais cumulativos depois de 5 dias), mas por outro lado, o diferença no impacto médio no preço das ações em 2008 (2,93%) é significativo estatisticamente. Além disso, ao segmentar a amostra entre empresas de baixo e alto valor de capitalização, há evidência empírica que as ações de empresas com baixa capitalização são mais sensíveis ao anúncios de recompra. Com base em dados ex-ante, mostramos que se a empresa realmente informa que poderá fazer volumes grandes de recompra, as ações tendem a ajustar o seu preço de forma estatisticamente significativa. Há evidências que o impacto no preço da ação não é influenciado por recompras realizadas em programas anteriores.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:IBICT/oai:bibliotecadigital.fgv.br:10438/10897
Date10 May 2013
CreatorsMicheloud, Gabriel Alejandro
ContributorsSchiozer, Rafael Felipe, Terra, Paulo, Escolas::EAESP, Saito, Richard
Source SetsIBICT Brazilian ETDs
LanguageEnglish
Detected LanguageEnglish
Typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion, info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis
Sourcereponame:Repositório Institucional do FGV, instname:Fundação Getulio Vargas, instacron:FGV
Rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess

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