This thesis will focus on the performance of angles only initial orbit determi- nation (IOD) methods on observational data of low Earth orbit (LEO) CubeSats. Using data obtained by Lockheed Martin’s Space Object Tracking (SpOT) facil- ity, four methods: Gauss, Double-R, Gooding and Assumed Circular, will use different amounts of orbital arc to determine which methods perform the best in the short arc regime of less than 10 degrees of orbital arc. Once the best method for estimating the orbit is determined, there will be analysis on whether these IOD methods are accurate enough to predict a secondary observation session. Finally non-linear regression will be performed to determine if the error metrics follow a predictable trend based on how much orbital arc is seen by the observer. It was determined that above a certain amount of orbital arc, angles only IOD methods can reliably predict a secondary observation session to facilitate more observations. Below 4 degrees of orbital arc, which is around 60 seconds of ob- serving time for LEO objects, none of the methods were able to reliably predict a secondary observation session. The Assumed Circular method was the best method for observing LEO CubeSats because it forces the IOD solution to be circular, which limits the error in the shape of the orbit as the amount of orbital arc decreases. Finally, many metrics follow an exponential trend when compared to the orbital arc. Thus, the amount of orbital arc seen is a strong predictor for the accuracy of the angles only IOD solutions.
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:CALPOLY/oai:digitalcommons.calpoly.edu:theses-3702 |
| Date | 01 July 2020 |
| Creators | Johnson, James P |
| Publisher | DigitalCommons@CalPoly |
| Source Sets | California Polytechnic State University |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | text |
| Format | application/pdf |
| Source | Master's Theses |
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