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Exploring winter rainfall in western South Africa : connections, influences and the potential for statistical seasonal forecasting

Includes abstract. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 151-155). / The development and underlying physical connections of relationships between SWC rainfall and the Southern Annular Mode (SAM), South Atlantic sea surface temperature (SST), Antarctic sea ice concentration (SIC), and the EI Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) were explored using spatial and temporal correlations. Insight gained from the correlation analysis was used to develop statistical forecast models for SWC seasonal rainfall, which served as an initial assessment of the potential for statistical seasonal forecasting of SWC rainfall.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:netd.ac.za/oai:union.ndltd.org:uct/oai:localhost:11427/11414
Date January 2010
CreatorsWolding, Brandon
PublisherUniversity of Cape Town, Faculty of Science, Department of Oceanography
Source SetsSouth African National ETD Portal
LanguageEnglish
Detected LanguageEnglish
TypeMaster Thesis, Masters, MSc
Formatapplication/pdf

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