Return to search

Local Cooling Despite Global Warming

How much warmer is the ocean surface than the atmosphere directly above it? Part 1 of the present study offers a means to quantify this temperature difference using a nonlinear
one-dimensional global energy balance coupled ocean–atmosphere model ("Aqua Planet"). The significance of our model, which is of intermediate complexity, is its ability to obtain an
analytical solution for the global average temperatures. Preliminary results show that, for the present climate, global mean ocean temperature is 291.1 K whereas surface atmospheric
temperature is 287.4 K. Thus, the surface ocean is 3.7 K warmer than the atmosphere above it. Temporal perturbation of the global mean solution obtained for "Aqua Planet" showed a stable
system. Oscillation amplitude of the atmospheric temperature anomaly is greater in magnitude to those found in the ocean. There is a phase shift (a lag in the ocean), which is caused by
oceanic thermal inertia. Climate feedbacks due to selected climate parameters such as incoming radiation, cloud cover, and CO2 are discussed. Warming obtained with our model compares with
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's (IPCC) estimations. Application of our model to local regions illuminates the importance of evaporative cooling in determining derived air-sea
temperature offsets, where an increase in the latter increases the systems overall sensitivity to evaporative cooling. In part 2, we wish to answer the fairly complicated question of
whether global warming and an increased freshwater flux cause Northern Hemispheric warming or cooling. Starting from the assumption of the ocean as the primary source of variability in the
Northern hemispheric ocean–atmosphere coupled system, we employed a simple non–linear one–dimensional coupled ocean–atmosphere model similar to the "Aqua Planet" model but with additional
advective heat transports. The simplicity of this model allows us to analytically predict the evolution of many dynamical variables of interest such as, the strength of the Atlantic
Meridional overturning circulation (AMOC), temperatures of the ocean and atmosphere, mass transports, salinity, and ocean–atmosphere heat fluxes. Model results show that a reduced AMOC
transport due to an increased freshwater flux causes cooling in both the atmosphere and ocean in the North Atlantic (NA) deep–water formation region. Cooling in both the ocean and
atmosphere can cause a reduction of the ocean–atmosphere temperature difference, which in turn reduces heat fluxes in both the ocean and atmosphere. For present day climate parameters, the
calculated critical freshwater flux needed to arrest AMOC is 0.14 Sv. Assuming a constant atmospheric zonal flow, there is both minimal reduction in the AMOC strength, as well as minimal
warming of the ocean and atmosphere. This model provides a conceptual framework for a dynamically sound response of the ocean and atmosphere to AMOC variability as a function of increased
freshwater flux. The results are qualitatively consistent with numerous realistic coupled numerical models of varying complexity. / A Dissertation submitted to the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Institute in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of
Philosophy. / Fall Semester 2015. / November 2, 2015. / air-sea temperature difference, AMOC, freshwater flux, local cooling, ocean-atmosphere interaction, simple models / Includes bibliographical references. / Doron Nof, Professor Directing Dissertation; Christopher Tam, University Representative; Mark Bourassa, Committee Member; Allan Clarke, Committee
Member; Philip Sura, Committee Member; Brian Ewald, Committee Member.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:fsu.edu/oai:fsu.digital.flvc.org:fsu_291291
ContributorsGirihagama, Lakshika Nilmini Kumari (authoraut), Nof, Doron (professor directing dissertation), Tam, Christopher K. W. (university representative), Bourassa, Mark Allan, 1962- (committee member), Clarke, Allan J. (committee member), Sura, Philip (committee member), Ewald, Brian D. (committee member), Florida State University (degree granting institution), College of Arts and Sciences (degree granting college), Program in Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (degree granting department)
PublisherFlorida State University
Source SetsFlorida State University
LanguageEnglish, English
Detected LanguageEnglish
TypeText, text
Format1 online resource (93 pages), computer, application/pdf

Page generated in 0.0016 seconds