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Development of a New Storm Surge Index for Global Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Generated Storm Surge

This research involves the creation of a new storm surge index that incorporates many variables important in storm surge generation like maximum winds, radius of maximum winds, pressure, translation speed, and bathymetry. Using a two-dimensional, barotropic ocean model, power laws have been developed that describe the relationship between storm surge and changes in maximum wind, radius of maximum winds, pressure, and bathymetry. Direct curve fitting is used to describe the relationship between storm surge and changes in translation speed since a power-law relationship does not exist in that case. A database of 39 landfalling, United States hurricanes between 1986 and 2007 is used to evaluate the quality of the index. Storm parameters for all database storms are compiled using the extended best track dataset, and an index value is calculated for each storm in the database. Correlation analysis is then performed using the index values and observed maximum storm surge heights. Finally, an extensive error analysis is presented to demonstrate uncertainties in the index in both forecast and post-analysis situations. / A Dissertation submitted to the Department of Meteorology in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy. / Summer Semester, 2008. / April 23, 2008. / Hurricane, Flood, Storm Surge, Forecasting / Includes bibliographical references. / Carol Anne Clayson, Professor Directing Dissertation; Jennifer Georgen, Outside Committee Member; Robert Hart, Committee Member; Paul Ruscher, Committee Member; Peter Ray, Committee Member; Steven Cocke, Committee Member.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:fsu.edu/oai:fsu.digital.flvc.org:fsu_181770
ContributorsJordan, Mark Rickman, 1982- (authoraut), Clayson, Carol Anne (professor directing dissertation), Georgen, Jennifer (outside committee member), Hart, Robert (committee member), Ruscher, Paul (committee member), Ray, Peter (committee member), Cocke, Steven (committee member), Department of Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences (degree granting department), Florida State University (degree granting institution)
PublisherFlorida State University, Florida State University
Source SetsFlorida State University
LanguageEnglish, English
Detected LanguageEnglish
TypeText, text
Format1 online resource, computer, application/pdf
RightsThis Item is protected by copyright and/or related rights. You are free to use this Item in any way that is permitted by the copyright and related rights legislation that applies to your use. For other uses you need to obtain permission from the rights-holder(s). The copyright in theses and dissertations completed at Florida State University is held by the students who author them.

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