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An Application of Neural Network ¡V Tide Forecasting and Supplement In the South China Sea

In the design and plan of the coast engineering, long-term and continual tidal database represent the indispensable role. This paper collect the tidal database, their locations include the ocean around the Taiwan and the South China Sea. Use the artificial neural networks (ANN) to build model and find the relationship between neighbor tidal observation stations. There are many reasons to cause the tide phenomenon, include the tide generating force, season, coastal geography, geography of sea floor, resonance of gulf or estuary, change depth of sea, and so on, it will be determined by local environment. The tide analysis and prediction usually use the harmonic analysis method. This method need long-term and continual tidal record, and the theory depend on the tide generating force, it has limit about accuracy.
The application of artificial neural networks is used in nonlinear science problems in general cases. The back propagation (BP) networks is the one model of the artificial neural networks, this paper use ANN-BP model to build the relationship from different tide observed stations, and verify the quality of model. From the result of verified models, the ANN-BP model can predict and supplement the tide record very well. The items of research include: ¡i1¡j the relationship between two neighbor tide observed stations. (one station input, one station output) ¡i2¡jthe relationship between three neighbor tide observed stations. (two station input, one station output) ¡i3¡j input several tide observed stations and output one station. ¡i4¡j the correlation of connected weight and threshold between different models. ¡i5¡j change the parameters of ANN-BP model and discus the affect of model¡¦s quality. ¡i6¡j application of truly case.
From the result of this paper, in the design and plan of the coast engineering, the long-term tide observed record can be predict from the ANN-BP model and tide record of neighbor observed stations. When the tide record has miss or lost cause by machine or other reasons, the ANN-BP model can supplement the lost tide record well. This paper show the ANN-BP model can be apply to predict and supplement the tide record very well, and will be possible applied method.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:NSYSU/oai:NSYSU:etd-0717100-194518
Date17 July 2000
CreatorsChun, Chu-Chih
ContributorsJanb T. Liu, Cherg-Shiar Chen, Bang-Fuh Chen
PublisherNSYSU
Source SetsNSYSU Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Archive
LanguageCholon
Detected LanguageEnglish
Typetext
Formatapplication/pdf
Sourcehttp://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0717100-194518
Rightsunrestricted, Copyright information available at source archive

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