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Aggregate merger activity and the business cycle

This study examines macroeconomic and industry-level factors (with particular emphasis on the business cycle) on industry-level merger activity. In a sample of US mergers from 1979 to 2006, we find that industry level mergers are highly pro-cyclical. The business cycle has a positive and significant impact on both horizontal and non-horizontal mergers, even after controlling for other macroeconomic and industry-level effects. Although macroeconomic variables have similar effects on both horizontal and non-horizontal mergers, industry-level factors vary significantly between the two types of mergers. Horizontal mergers are much more aligned with neo-classical theories, while non-horizontal mergers are more affected by financing constraints and overvaluation. We also find that the determinants and financing preferences of industry-level mergers vary greatly across the business cycle stages, which suggests that the motivation for mergers changes in different economic conditions.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:USASK/oai:usask.ca:etd-09192008-120854
Date22 September 2008
CreatorsKomlenovic, Srdan
ContributorsMishra, Dev R., Mamun, Abdullah, Haque, Mahfuzul, Racine, Marie
PublisherUniversity of Saskatchewan
Source SetsUniversity of Saskatchewan Library
LanguageEnglish
Detected LanguageEnglish
Typetext
Formatapplication/pdf
Sourcehttp://library.usask.ca/theses/available/etd-09192008-120854/
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