Global temperature variations between 1861 and 1984 are forecast usingsregularization networks, multilayer perceptrons and linearsautoregression. The regularization network, optimized by stochasticsgradient descent associated with colored noise, gives the bestsforecasts. For all the models, prediction errors noticeably increasesafter 1965. These results are consistent with the hypothesis that thesclimate dynamics is characterized by low-dimensional chaos and thatsthe it may have changed at some point after 1965, which is alsosconsistent with the recent idea of climate change.s
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:MIT/oai:dspace.mit.edu:1721.1/7208 |
| Date | 01 August 1994 |
| Creators | Miyano, Takaya, Girosi, Federico |
| Source Sets | M.I.T. Theses and Dissertation |
| Language | en_US |
| Detected Language | English |
| Format | 11 p., 342101 bytes, 403018 bytes, application/octet-stream, application/pdf |
| Relation | AIM-1447, CBCL-101 |
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