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Assessing Non-Motorist Safety In Motor Vehicle Crashes – A Copula-Based Approach To Jointly Estimate Crash Location And Injury Severity

Recognizing the distinct non-motorist injury severity profiles by crash location (segment or intersection), we propose a joint modeling framework to study crash location type and non-motorist injury severity as two dimensions of the severity process. We employ a copula-based joint framework that ties the crash location type (represented as a binary logit model) and injury severity (represented as a generalized ordered logit model) through a closed form flexible dependency structure to study the injury severity process. The data for our analysis is drawn from the Central Florida region for the years of 2015 to 2021. The model system explicitly accounts for temporal heterogeneity across the two dimensions. A comprehensive set of independent variables including non-motorist user characteristics, driver and vehicle characteristics, roadway attributes, weather and environmental factors, temporal and sociodemographic factors are considered for the analysis. We also conducted an elasticity analysis to show the actual magnitude of the independent variables on non-motorist injury severity at the two locations. The results highlight the importance of examining the effect of various independent variables on non-motorist injury severity outcome by different crash locations.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:ucf.edu/oai:stars.library.ucf.edu:etd2023-1125
Date01 January 2023
CreatorsMarcoux, Robert A
PublisherSTARS
Source SetsUniversity of Central Florida
LanguageEnglish
Detected LanguageEnglish
Typetext
Formatapplication/pdf
SourceGraduate Thesis and Dissertation 2023-2024

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