This study uses a quadratic programming model to estimate impacts of Bt cotton adoption on consumer benefits, cotton program outlays, and producer returns, by state and by grower adoption status. Three scenarios were considered simulating low, moderate, and high impacts of Bt cotton adoption. For the moderate impact scenario, U.S. benefits from Bt cotton adoption grew from $44 million in 1996 to $66 million in 1998. Annual U.S. consumer benefits ranged from $46– $55 million. Benefits to Bt adopters grew from $57 million in 1996 to $97 million in 1998. Losses to non-adopters fell from -$59 million in 1996 to -$8 million in 1998 as rising commodity program payments countered the impact of lower prices. In 1998, gains to Arizona Bt cotton adopters (net of adoption costs) were about $9 million, averaging over $15,000 per adopting farm.
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:arizona.edu/oai:arizona.openrepository.com:10150/197451 |
| Date | January 2000 |
| Creators | Frizvold, George, Tronstad, Russell, Mortensen, Jorgen |
| Contributors | Silvertooth, Jeff |
| Publisher | College of Agriculture, University of Arizona (Tucson, AZ) |
| Source Sets | University of Arizona |
| Language | en_US |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | text, Article |
| Relation | AZ1170 |
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