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Mapping Peat Depth Using Remote Sensing and Machine Learning to Improve Peat Smouldering Vulnerability Prediction

Peat is an accumulation of soil formed from partially decomposed organic matter. Peat can burn, especially in hot, dry weather which is happening more often due to climate change; smouldering releases stored carbon to the atmosphere. Peat that has higher organic bulk density and lower moisture content is more vulnerable to fire: it will burn more severely (more deeply) if ignited. Shallower peat is less able to retain moisture during droughts and is therefore likely more vulnerable to fire; however, mapping peat depths at high spatial resolution is expensive or requires extensive fieldwork. This project uses remote sensing in combination with machine learning to estimate peat depth across a peatland and rock barren landscape. A Random Forest model was used to map peat depths across the landscape at a 1 m spatial resolution using LiDAR data and orthophotography. The resulting map was able to predict peat depths (R2 = 0.73, MAE = 28 cm) and showed that the peat depths which are especially vulnerable to high severity fire are distributed in numerous small patches across the landscape. This project also examined peat bulk density and found that the Von Post scale for peat decomposition can be used as a field method for estimating bulk density (R2 = 0.71). In addition, in this landscape, peat bulk densities at the same depth (within the top 45 cm) are higher in shallower peat because in shallower peat, more decomposed peat was found closer to the surface, and because peat with high mineral content was found close to the bedrock or mineral soil. The findings of this project will be valuable for wildfire managers to determine which areas on the landscape are most vulnerable to fire, allowing them to mobilize resources more rapidly for wildfire suppression. / Thesis / Master of Science (MSc) / Peat is organic soil made from decomposing plant material. Peat can burn, especially in the hot, dry weather which is happening more often due to climate change. Dense, dry peat is more vulnerable to fire: it will burn more deeply. Because it is known that areas with deeper peat can retain moisture better, peat depth can be used as a proxy for vulnerability to fire. Since peat depth is expensive and time consuming to map directly, remotely sensed data such as aerial imagery was used in a model to predict peat depths. The model was able to predict peat depths and displayed that the most vulnerable areas are scattered across the landscape in small patches. This project also found that denser peat is found farther from the surface in deeper peat areas, further supporting the use of peat depth as a proxy for vulnerability to smouldering.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:mcmaster.ca/oai:macsphere.mcmaster.ca:11375/28778
Date January 2023
CreatorsSherwood, Emma
ContributorsWaddington, James Michael, Earth and Environmental Sciences
Source SetsMcMaster University
LanguageEnglish
Detected LanguageEnglish
TypeThesis

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