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Testing for jumps and cojumps in financial markets

Thesis (S.M.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Computation for Design and Optimization Program, 2010. / Cataloged from PDF version of thesis. / Includes bibliographical references (p. 63-64). / In this thesis, we introduce a new testing methodology to detect cojumps in multi-asset returns. We define a cojump as a jump in at least one dimension of the return processes. For a multivariate process that follows a semimartingale, and with no other specific assumptions on the process, we form a test statistic which can easily disentangle jumps from continuous paths of the process. We prove that the test statistics are chi-square distributed in the absence of jumps in any dimensions. We propose a hypothesis testing based on the extreme distribution of the test statistics. If the test statistic observed is beyond the extreme level, then most likely, a cojump occurs. Monte Carlo simulation is performed to access the effectiveness of the test by examining the size and power of the test. We apply the test to a pair of empirical asset returns data and the findings of jump timing are consistent with existing literature. / by Cheng Ju. / S.M.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:MIT/oai:dspace.mit.edu:1721.1/58390
Date January 2010
CreatorsJu, Cheng, S.M. Massachusetts Institute of Technology
ContributorsScott Joslin., Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Computation for Design and Optimization Program., Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Computation for Design and Optimization Program.
PublisherMassachusetts Institute of Technology
Source SetsM.I.T. Theses and Dissertation
LanguageEnglish
Detected LanguageEnglish
TypeThesis
Format64 p., application/pdf
RightsM.I.T. theses are protected by copyright. They may be viewed from this source for any purpose, but reproduction or distribution in any format is prohibited without written permission. See provided URL for inquiries about permission., http://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/7582

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