Many empirical studies hypothesise that foreign direct investment (FDI) has a positive impact on economic growth. As a result, FDI has been targeted by many countries in their attempts to increase their standards of economic growth. South Africa (like many developing economies) is not a stranger to this phenomenon. However, there is a dearth of literature analysing the relationship between FDI and economic growth at a sector level in South Africa. This thesis analyses the causal relationship between FDI and economic growth in South Africa at a sector level comprising primary, secondary and tertiary industries. This study applied a more robust and asymptotically reliable Toda-Yamamoto-Dolado-Lutkephol (1995) methodology in analysing the causal relationship thus addressing the potential biases and asymptotic unreliability relating the traditional Granger causality technique. The report shows that FDI Granger-causes growth in primary, secondary, tertiary sectors and at an aggregate level. In addition, growth was found to Granger-cause FDI at tertiary and aggregate level. On the other hand growth does not Granger-cause FDI at primary and secondary sector level. The only bi-directional relationship that could be observed was at the tertiary and aggregate sector level, whereas at primary and secondary sector level, the relationship was found to be unidirectional.
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:netd.ac.za/oai:union.ndltd.org:uct/oai:localhost:11427/29038 |
| Date | January 2015 |
| Creators | Maseko, Michael |
| Contributors | Gossel, Sean J |
| Publisher | University of Cape Town, Faculty of Commerce, Research of GSB |
| Source Sets | South African National ETD Portal |
| Language | English |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | Master Thesis, Masters, MPhil |
| Format | application/pdf |
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