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The Application Of Disaggregation Methods To The Unemployment Rate Of Turkey

Modeling and forecasting of the unemployment rate of a country is very important to be able to take precautions on the governmental policies. The available unemployment rate data of Turkey provided by the Turkish Statistical Institute (TURKSTAT) are not in suitable format to have a time series model. The unemployment rate data between 1988 and 2009 create a problem of building a reliable time series model due to the insufficient number and irregular form of observations. The application of disaggregation methods to some parts of the unemployment rate data enables us to fit an appropriate time series model and to have forecasts as a result of the suggested model.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:METU/oai:etd.lib.metu.edu.tr:http://etd.lib.metu.edu.tr/upload/12612444/index.pdf
Date01 September 2010
CreatorsTuker, Utku Goksel
ContributorsTalu Yozgatligil, Ceylan
PublisherMETU
Source SetsMiddle East Technical Univ.
LanguageEnglish
Detected LanguageEnglish
TypeM.S. Thesis
Formattext/pdf
RightsTo liberate the content for METU campus

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