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Metacognition in decision making

Humans effortlessly and accurately judge their subjective probability of being correct in a given decision, leading to the view that metacognition is integral to decision making. This thesis reports a series of experiments assessing people’s confidence and error-detection judgements. These different types of metacognitive judgements are highly similar with regard to their methodology, but have been studied largely separately. I provide data indicating that these judgements are fundamentally linked and that they rely on shared cognitive and neural mechanisms. As a first step towards such a joint account of confidence and error detection, I present simulations from a computational model that is based on the notion these judgements are based on the same underlying processes. I next focus on how metacognitive signals are utilised to enhance cognitive control by means of a modulation of information seeking. I report data from a study in which participants received performance feedback, testing the hypothesis that participants will focus more on feedback when they are uncertain whether they were correct in the current trial, whilst ignoring feedback when they are certain regarding their accuracy. A final question addressed in this thesis asks which information contributes internally to the formation of metacognitive judgements, given that it remains a challenge for most models of confidence to explain the precise mechanisms by which confidence reflects accuracy, under which circumstances this correlation is reduced, and the role other influences might have, such as the inherent reliability of a source of evidence. The results reported here suggest that multiple variables – such as response time and reliability of evidence – play a role in the generation of metacognitive judgements. Inter-individual differences with regard to the utilisation of these cues to confidence are tested. Taken together, my results suggest that metacognition is crucially involved in decision making and cognitive control.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:bl.uk/oai:ethos.bl.uk:664796
Date January 2015
CreatorsBoldt, Annika
ContributorsYeung, Nick
PublisherUniversity of Oxford
Source SetsEthos UK
Detected LanguageEnglish
TypeElectronic Thesis or Dissertation
Sourcehttp://ora.ox.ac.uk/objects/uuid:5d9b2036-cc42-4515-b40e-97bb3ddb1d78

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