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The Market Sentiment-Adjusted Strategy under Stock Selecting of MFM Model

The objective of this study is to discover the non-linear effect of market sentiment to characteristic factor returns. We run ¡¥Quantile Regression¡¦ to help us extract useful information and design an effective strategy. Based on the quantitative investment method, using the platform of Multi-Factor Model (MFM), we attempt to construct a portfolio and enhance portfolio performance. If the market-sentiment variable increases performance, we could conclude that some characteristic factors in a high sentiment period will perform better or worse in the next period.
What is the market or investor sentiment? It is still a problem in the finance field. There is no co-definition or consensus so far. We do our best to collect the indirect data, such as transaction data, price and volume data, and some indicators in other studies, VIX, put/call ratio and so on. Then, we test the proxy variables independently, and obtain some interesting results. The market turnover, the ratio of margin lending on funds/ margin lending on securities, and the growth rate of consumer confidence index have significant effects on some of the characteristic factors. This holds that some market sentiment variables could influence stocks with certain characteristics, and the factor timing approach could improve portfolio performance under examination by information ratio.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:NSYSU/oai:NSYSU:etd-0725110-190511
Date25 July 2010
CreatorsLee, Chun-Yi
ContributorsChien-Chiang Lee, Yih Jeng, Pei-fen Chen
PublisherNSYSU
Source SetsNSYSU Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Archive
LanguageEnglish
Detected LanguageEnglish
Typetext
Formatapplication/pdf
Sourcehttp://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0725110-190511
Rightsoff_campus_withheld, Copyright information available at source archive

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