A computer simulation model was developed to examine the effects of various levels of alewife densities, harvest, and bycatch rates on yellow perch Perca flavescens relative densities in Indiana waters of Lake Michigan. The model utilized STELLA® Research software to develop the age-structured population model to include measured or predicted biological characteristics of density-dependent growth, recruitment, and mortality.The model was validated by simulating historically documented yellow perch catch per unit effort (CPUE) from 1984 - 1998. A strong linear relationship (R2= 0.70) between the model predicted CPUE values and the actual CPUE values was found. Twenty year model projections were performed using 1998 yellow perch trawl CPUE as starting values. Alewife abundance was established as either constantly high, constantly low, or allowed to fluctuate randomly and forecasts made used the average of 100 runs. Harvest was imposed on the yellow perch population at 20, 40, and 60% rate levels for fish >_ 200 mm coupled with bycatch at20, 40 and 60% rate levels for fish ranging from 165 - 200 mm.Alewife abundance was the major factor determining the relative abundance of the yellow perch population. On average, constantly high alewife abundance with no harvest or bycatch resulted in projected continuing suppression of yellow perch abundance from 1998 levels. The model predicted the population to rebound using constant low and random alewife abundance with no harvest or bycatch to approximately 1,100 fish/h and 700 fish/h, respectively.The model revealed harvest to have a generally negative impact on the yellow perch population. Increasing harvest and bycatch rate levels resulted in the suppression of projected increases in yellow perch relative abundance. Additionally, increasing harvest and bycatch rates resulted in greater predicted declines in yellow perch abundance. / Department of Biology
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:BSU/oai:cardinalscholar.bsu.edu:handle/186903 |
| Date | January 2000 |
| Creators | Allen, Paul J. |
| Contributors | McComish, Thomas S. |
| Source Sets | Ball State University |
| Detected Language | English |
| Format | x, 134 leaves : ill. ; 28 cm. |
| Source | Virtual Press |
| Coverage | n-us-in |
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