In this thesis, the technologies that appeared to be strategic according to the Vision
2023 Technology Foresight Project were examined in terms of how they might form
up technology clusters. This thesis aims to identify technology clusters in terms of
common knowledge base and to use these clusters in future scenarios as a foresight
tool. In this study, Vision 2023 Delphi survey respondents&rsquo / intersecting expertise
levels in different fields were accepted as indicators of common knowledge base in
these fields and technology clusters were formed up in this direction. In order to
attain technology clusters, the appropriateness of hierarchical and nonhierarchical
clustering methods and projection techniques were examined. Taking the clusters
into consideration, Ward&rsquo / s method revealed the healthiest results for our data set.
Investigation of scenario building which had not been used in Turkey as a an
effective foresight tool, forms the second step of this study. Scenario method was
examined from a historical perspective and different approaches were investigated.
Finally, using the technology clusters that were gained through Ward clustering, a
scenario building study by scenario matrix was conducted as an example.
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:METU/oai:etd.lib.metu.edu.tr:http://etd.lib.metu.edu.tr/upload/3/12608424/index.pdf |
| Date | 01 May 2007 |
| Creators | Sakarya, Basak |
| Contributors | Geray, Haluk |
| Publisher | METU |
| Source Sets | Middle East Technical Univ. |
| Language | English |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | M.S. Thesis |
| Format | text/pdf |
| Rights | To liberate the content for public access |
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