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A generalized stochastic birth/death population model based on Indian RiverLagoon dolphins

For over a decade, researchers at Harbor Branch Oceanographic Institute (HBOI)
have conducted surveys of the bottlenose dolphin (Tursiops truncatus) population of
Indian River Lagoon (IRL) in Florida. I have constructed a 4-stage population model
using the statistical program R. The model is used to conduct a viability analysis by
analyzing the relationship between birth, calf and adult survival rates. The power
analysis compares survey frequency to expected confidence intervals in estimating
abundance. The sensitivity analysis shows that the population is most sensitive to
changes in adult survival, followed by birth rate and calf survival. The model shows a
strong chance of viability over a 50 year time span. The population is vulnerable to long
periods of decline if birth, calf or adult survival rates fall below certain thresholds.
Overall, the model simulates the future impacts of demographic change, providing a tool
for conservation efforts. / Includes bibliography. / Thesis (M.S.)--Florida Atlantic University, 2014. / FAU Electronic Theses and Dissertations Collection

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:fau.edu/oai:fau.digital.flvc.org:fau_13509
ContributorsStonger, Jon (author), Noonburg, Erik G. (Thesis advisor), Florida Atlantic University (Degree grantor), Charles E. Schmidt College of Science, Department of Biological Sciences
PublisherFlorida Atlantic University
Source SetsFlorida Atlantic University
LanguageEnglish
Detected LanguageEnglish
TypeElectronic Thesis or Dissertation, Text
Format102 p., application/pdf
RightsCopyright © is held by the author, with permission granted to Florida Atlantic University to digitize, archive and distribute this item for non-profit research and educational purposes. Any reuse of this item in excess of fair use or other copyright exemptions requires permission of the copyright holder., http://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC/1.0/

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