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Temporal Focus and Analyst Scrutiny: Evidence from Earnings Conference Calls

Using the setting of earnings conference calls, this paper investigates the temporal focus of management presentation during those calls, i.e., the extent to which managers allocate their discussions to future firm prospects relative to past firm performance. I find a negative association between firms' past performance and the future focus of management presentation. Moreover, the association is less negative for firms with more long-term investors and is more negative for firms with high litigation risk. Additionally, I find that the temporal focus of management presentation is positively associated with that of analyst questions. I also find that managers' future focus is positively associated with the number of analysts following the firm but negatively associated with forecast quality of analyst reports (lower accuracy and higher dispersion). Finally, I find the future discussions in management presentation is positively associated with the time that analysts took to release the next quarter's forecasts. / Ph. D. / In recent years, it has become a common practice for public companies to hold earnings conference calls right after the release of their quarterly earnings results. Earnings conference calls are also publically accessible. Thus, earnings conference calls are believed to contain timely and important information to investors, analysts, and other interested parties. During the calls, managers first highlight the company’s financial performance and discuss its future prospects, and then answer some questions asked by call participants (primarily financial analysts). This paper investigates how managers allocate their effort to discuss the company’s future firm prospects (i.e., future focus) based on its quarterly earning results (past firm performance). I find managers are more likely to discuss future firm prospects when they have a bad quarter; and are more likely to discuss past results when they have a good quarter. In other words, there is a negative association between firms’ past performance and the future focus of management discussion. Moreover, I find the association is less negative for firms with more long-term investors and is more negative for firms with high litigation risk. Additionally, I find that when managers allocate more discussions on the future, analysts tend to ask more questions about the future. I also find that managers’ future focus is positively associated with the number of analysts following the firm but negatively associated with forecast quality of analyst reports. Finally, I find that managers’ future focus is positively associated with the time that analysts took to release the next quarter’s forecasts.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:VTETD/oai:vtechworks.lib.vt.edu:10919/84982
Date17 March 2017
CreatorsZhou, Mi
ContributorsAccounting and Information Systems, Fan, Weiguo Patrick, Hansen, Thomas Bowe, Huang, Jingjing, Barkhi, Reza, Chen, Feng, Stein, Sarah E.
PublisherVirginia Tech
Source SetsVirginia Tech Theses and Dissertation
Detected LanguageEnglish
TypeDissertation
FormatETD, application/pdf
RightsIn Copyright, http://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC/1.0/

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