In the era of Industry 4.0, conventional supply chains are undergoing a transformation into digital supply chains with the wide application of digital technologies such as big data, cloud computing, and Internet of Things. A digital supply chain is an intelligent and value-driven process that has superior features such as speed, flexibility, transparency, and real-time inventory monitoring and management. This concept is further included in the framework of Supply Chain 4.0, which emphasizes the connection between supply chain and Industry 4.0. In this context, data analytics for supply chain management presents a promising research opportunity. This thesis aims to investigate the use of data analytics in supply chain decision-making, including modelling, monitoring, and optimization.
First, this thesis investigates supply chain monitoring (SCMo) using data analytics. The goal of SCMo is to raise an alarm when abnormal supply chain events occur and identify the potential reason. We propose a framework of SCMo based on a data-driven method, principal component analysis (PCA). Within this framework, supply chain data such as inventory levels and customer demand are collected, and the normal operating conditions of a supply chain are characterized using PCA. Fault detection and diagnosis are implemented by examining the monitoring statistics and variable contributions. A supply chain simulation model is developed to carry out the case studies. The results show that dynamic PCA (DPCA) successfully detected abnormal behaviour of the supply chain, such as transportation delay, low production rate, and supply shortage. Moreover, the contribution plot is shown to be effective in interpreting the abnormality and identify the fault-related variables. The method of using data-driven methods for SCMo is named data-driven SCMo in this work.
Then, a further investigation of data-driven SCMo based on another statistical process monitoring method, canonical variate analysis (CVA), is conducted. CVA utilizes the state-space model of a system and determines the canonical states by maximizing the correlation between the combination of past system outputs and inputs and the combination of future outputs. A state-space model of supply chain is developed, which forms the basis of applying CVA to detect supply chain faults. The performance of CVA and PCA are assessed and compared in terms of dimensionality reduction, false alarm rate, missed detection rate, and detection delay. Case studies show that CVA identifies a smaller system order than PCA and achieves comparable performance to PCA in a lower-dimensional latent space.
Next, we investigate data-driven supply chain control under uncertainty with risk taken into account. The method under investigation is reinforcement learning (RL). Within the RL framework, an agent learns an optimal policy that maps the state to action during the process of interacting with the non-deterministic environment, such that a numerical reward is maximized. The current literature regarding supply chain control focuses on conventional RL that maximizes the expected return. However, this may be not the best option for risk-averse decision makers. In this work, we explore the use of safe RL, which takes into account the concept of risk in the learning process. Two safe RL algorithms, Q-hat-learning and Beta-pessimistic Q-learning, are investigated. Case studies are carried out based on the supply chain simulator developed using agent-based modelling. Results show that Q-learning has the best performance under normal scenarios, while safe RL algorithms perform better under abnormal scenarios and are more robust to changes in the environment. Moreover, we find that the benefits of safe RL are more pronounced in a closed-loop supply chain.
Finally, we investigate real-time supply chain optimization. The operational optimization problems for supply chains of realistic size are often large and complex, and solving them in real time can be challenging. This work aims to address the problem by using a deep learning-based model predictive control (MPC) technique. The MPC problem for supply chain operation is formulated based on the state space model of a supply chain, and the optimal state-input pairs are precomputed in the offline phase. Then, a deep neural network is built to map the state to input, which is then used in the online phase to reduce solution time. We propose an approach to implement the deep learning-based MPC method when there are delayed terms in the system, and a heuristic approach to feasibility recovery for mixed-integer MPC, with binary decision variables taken into account. Case studies show that compared with solving the nominal MPC problem online, deep learning-based MPC can provide near-optimal solution at a lower computational cost. / Thesis / Doctor of Philosophy (PhD)
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:mcmaster.ca/oai:macsphere.mcmaster.ca:11375/27767 |
| Date | January 2022 |
| Creators | Wang, Jing |
| Contributors | Swartz, Christopher L.E., Huang, Kai, Computational Engineering and Science |
| Source Sets | McMaster University |
| Language | English |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | Thesis |
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