A methodology has been developed to quantify the simulation uncertainty of a computational model calibrated against test data. All test data used in the study undergoes an experimental uncertainty analysis. The modeling software ROCETS is used and its structure is explained. The way the model was calibrated is presented. Next, a general simulation uncertainty analysis methodology is shown that is valid for calibrated models. Finally the ROCETS calibrated model and its simulation uncertainty are calculated using the general methodology and compared to a second set of comparison test data. The simulation uncertainty analysis methodology developed and implemented can be used for any modeling with a calibrated model. The methodology works well for a process of incremental testing and recalibration of the model whenever new test data is available.
Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:MSSTATE/oai:scholarsjunction.msstate.edu:td-5811 |
Date | 06 August 2005 |
Creators | Molder, King Jeffries |
Publisher | Scholars Junction |
Source Sets | Mississippi State University |
Detected Language | English |
Type | text |
Format | application/pdf |
Source | Theses and Dissertations |
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