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Probabilistic models and optimization algorithms for large-scale transportation problems

This electronic version was submitted by the student author. The certified thesis is available in the Institute Archives and Special Collections. / Thesis: Ph. D., Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Sloan School of Management, Operations Research Center, 2020 / Cataloged from student-submitted PDF of thesis. / Includes bibliographical references (pages 179-186). / This thesis tackles two major challenges of urban transportation optimization problems: (i) high-dimensionality and (ii) uncertainty in both demand and supply. These challenges are addressed from both modeling and algorithm design perspectives. The first part of this thesis focuses on the formulation of analytical transient stochastic link transmission models (LTM) that are computationally tractable and suitable for largescale network analysis and optimization. We first formulate a stochastic LTM based on the model of Osorio and Flötteröd (2015). We propose a formulation with enhanced scalability. In particular, the dimension of the state space is linear, rather than cubic, in the link's space capacity. We then propose a second formulation that has a state space of dimension two; it scales independently of the link's space capacity. Both link models are validated versus benchmark models, both analytical and simulation-based. The proposed models are used to address a probabilistic formulation of a city-wide signal control problem and are benchmarked versus other existing network models. Compared to the benchmarks, both models derive signal plans that perform systematically better considering various performance metrics. The second model, compared to the first model, reduces the computational runtime by at least two orders of magnitude. The second part of this thesis proposes a technique to enhance the computational efficiency of simulation-based optimization (SO) algorithms for high-dimensional discrete SO problems. The technique is based on an adaptive partitioning strategy. It is embedded within the Empirical Stochastic Branch-and-Bound (ESB&B) algorithm of Xu and Nelson (2013). This combination leads to a discrete SO algorithm that is both globally convergent and has good small sample performance. The proposed algorithm is validated and used to address a high-dimensional car-sharing optimization problem. / by Jing Lu. / Ph. D. / Ph.D. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Sloan School of Management, Operations Research Center

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:MIT/oai:dspace.mit.edu:1721.1/128045
Date January 2020
CreatorsLu, Jing
ContributorsCarolina Osorio., Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Operations Research Center., Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Operations Research Center, Sloan School of Management
PublisherMassachusetts Institute of Technology
Source SetsM.I.T. Theses and Dissertation
LanguageEnglish
Detected LanguageEnglish
TypeThesis
Format186 pages, application/pdf
RightsMIT theses may be protected by copyright. Please reuse MIT thesis content according to the MIT Libraries Permissions Policy, which is available through the URL provided., http://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/7582

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