Denna uppsats undersöker effekten av oljepriser på inflation i Tyskland under 2000-talet. Under denna tid har många viktiga makroekonomiska händelser ägt rum och oljepriser har fluktuerat. Tyskland har valts att undersökas eftersom det är en stor europeisk ekonomi som är beroende av energiimport. En multipel linjär regression baserad på den nya Keynesianska Phillipskurvan har konstruerats. Resultaten visar att oljepriser har en statistiskt signifikant effekt på inflation; 1% ökning av oljepriser resulterar i en inflationsökning om 0,011%. Resultatet visar en positiv relation som ligger i linje med det teoretiska ramverket, men effekten är relativt liten vilket tyder på att oljepriser har en begränsad effekt på inflation under 2000-talet jämfört med tidigare tidsperiod. / This essay examines the effects of oil prices on inflation in Germany during the twenty-first century. At this time, many important macroeconomic events have occurred and oil prices have fluctuated. Germany was chosen as it is a strong European economy dependent on energy imports. A multiple regression analysis based on the theory of the new Keynesian Phillips curve has been constructed. The results show that oil prices have a statistically significant effect on inflation; a 1% increase in oil prices results in an inflation increase of 0,011%. The result of this positive relationship is in accordance with the theory, but the effect is relatively small thus suggesting that oil prices are not the primary cause of inflation. Oil prices seem to have a more limited effect on inflation in the twenty-first century compared to earlier time periods.
Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:UPSALLA1/oai:DiVA.org:uu-495979 |
Date | January 2022 |
Creators | Alkassam, Ruby, Hård, Rebecca |
Publisher | Uppsala universitet, Nationalekonomiska institutionen |
Source Sets | DiVA Archive at Upsalla University |
Language | Swedish |
Detected Language | English |
Type | Student thesis, info:eu-repo/semantics/bachelorThesis, text |
Format | application/pdf |
Rights | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
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