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A modeling study of an extreme precipitation event : the Saguenay flood

A mesoscale model with a horizontal resolution of 20 km was used to perform a simulation of the rapidly deepening continental cyclone of 19--21 July 1996 that produced heavy precipitation and severe flooding in the Saguenay region of Quebec, Canada. Sensitivity experiments were conducted and diagnostics performed to investigate the interactions and relative importance of the forcing mechanisms that led to the explosive cyclogenesis and heavy precipitation. / It is found that condensational heating is integral for the establishment of a phase lock between the surface cyclone and a strong, upper-level short wave trough which steers the cyclone. A weaker trough acts to retard the progression of the stronger trough, ultimately causing the cyclone to be located in a favorable position to interact with orography. Using potential vorticity (PV) inversion diagnostics, the relative contributions to cyclogenesis from the positive anomalies from upper-level PV, condensation-generated PV and surface potential temperature are quantified. The contribution to the precipitation from orographic forcing due to upslope flow is also quantified through sensitivity experiments.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:LACETR/oai:collectionscanada.gc.ca:QMM.20589
Date January 1998
CreatorsMilbrandt, Jason.
PublisherMcGill University
Source SetsLibrary and Archives Canada ETDs Repository / Centre d'archives des thèses électroniques de Bibliothèque et Archives Canada
LanguageEnglish
Detected LanguageEnglish
TypeElectronic Thesis or Dissertation
Formatapplication/pdf
CoverageMaster of Science (Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences.)
RightsAll items in eScholarship@McGill are protected by copyright with all rights reserved unless otherwise indicated.
Relationalephsysno: 001642378, proquestno: MQ44222, Theses scanned by UMI/ProQuest.

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