When do rivalries between counties go to war during its rivalry period? This question has rarely been asked despite much research about the relationships between rivals as well as the factors surrounding the initiation and termination of their rivalry. This question is important in order to understand how to achieve peace during the rivalry period. I argue that political shock causes bargaining failure, leading to war between rivals. Political shock often results in different bargaining ranges caused by a lack of information and the uncertainty that a rival will keep an agreement. Three factors are proposed in my dissertation to explain how political shock increases the uncertainty of the bargaining range and incredibility of agreement which can lead rivals to war: a change of major power alliance; a pre-occupied major power alliance; and an irregular leadership entry. Each of these factors can stimulate drastic changes of the rivals' incentives and expectations within a short period of time. Rivals then become uncertain about what they should offer and demand in the bargaining process and whether their rival will keep the agreement. I use a multivariate logistic regression model. The anticipated result provides theoretical grounds to understand the peace and war during rivalry, not only for scholars but also for policy practitioners in rival countries. / A Dissertation submitted to the Department of Political Science in partial fulfillment of the requirements for
the degree of Doctor of Philosophy. / Spring Semester, 2014. / March 07, 2014. / Bargaining, Political Shock, Rivalry, War / Includes bibliographical references. / Mark Souva, Professor Directing Dissertation; Daekwan Kim, University Representative; Dale Smith, Committee Member; Megan Shannon, Committee Member.
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:fsu.edu/oai:fsu.digital.flvc.org:fsu_253600 |
| Contributors | Bae, Hackyoung (authoraut), Souva, Mark (professor directing dissertation), Kim, Daekwan (university representative), Smith, Dale (committee member), Shannon, Megan (committee member), Department of Political Science (degree granting department), Florida State University (degree granting institution) |
| Publisher | Florida State University, Florida State University |
| Source Sets | Florida State University |
| Language | English, English |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | Text, text |
| Format | 1 online resource, computer, application/pdf |
| Rights | This Item is protected by copyright and/or related rights. You are free to use this Item in any way that is permitted by the copyright and related rights legislation that applies to your use. For other uses you need to obtain permission from the rights-holder(s). The copyright in theses and dissertations completed at Florida State University is held by the students who author them. |
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