A response surface analysis is concerned with the exploration of a system in order to determine the behavior of the response of the system as levels of certain factors which influence the response are changed. It is often of particular interest to predict the response in some region of the allowable factor values and to find the optimal operating conditions of the system.
In an experiment to search for the optimum response of a surface it is advantageous to predict the response with equal, or nearly equal, precision at all combinations of the levels of the variables which represent locations which are the same distance from the center of the experimental region. Measures of the quality of prediction at locations on the surface of a hypersphere are presented in this thesis. These measures are used to form a graphical method of assessing the overall prediction capability of an experimental design throughout the region of interest.
Rotatable designs give equal variances of predicted values corresponding to locations on the same sphere. In this case, the center of the sphere coincides with the center of the rotatable design. However, there is a need for a method to quantify the prediction capability on spheres for non-rotatable designs. The spherical variance is a measure of the average prediction variance at locations on the surface of a sphere. The spherical variance obtained with a design provides an assessment of how well the response is being estimated on the average at locations which are the same distance from the region center. This thesis introduces two measures which describe the dispersion in the variances of the predicted responses at aH locations on the surface of a sphere. These prediction variance dispersion (PVD) measures are used to evaluate the ability of a design to estimate the response with consistent precision at locations which are the same distance from the region center. The PVD measures are used in conjunction with the spherical variance to assess the prediction capability of a design.
A plot of the spherical variance and the maximum and minimum prediction variances for locations on a sphere against the radius of the sphere gives a comprehensive picture of the behavior of the prediction variances throughout a region, and, hence, of the quality of the predicted responses, obtained with a particular design. Such plots are used to investigate and compare the prediction capabilities of certain response surface designs currently available to the researcher. The plots are also used to investigate the robustness of a design under adverse experimental conditions and to determine the effects of taking an additional experimental run on the quality of the predicted responses. / Ph. D.
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:VTETD/oai:vtechworks.lib.vt.edu:10919/53899 |
| Date | January 1987 |
| Creators | Giovannitti-Jensen, Ann |
| Contributors | Statistics, Myers, Raymond, Hinkelmann, Klaus, Lentner, Marvin, Birch, Jeffrey B., Foutz, Robert V. |
| Publisher | Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University |
| Source Sets | Virginia Tech Theses and Dissertation |
| Language | en_US |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | Dissertation, Text |
| Format | xii, 199 leaves, application/pdf, application/pdf |
| Rights | In Copyright, http://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC/1.0/ |
| Relation | OCLC# 17633722 |
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